Bundesliga
TSG Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund
04/18/2026, 01:30 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.8
1.1
1:1
13%2:1
10%2:0
9%1:2
6%2:2
5%xG 分解
TSG Hoffenheim
Borussia Dortmund
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
48%
平局
27%
客胜
24%
进球数
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
双重机会
主胜或平局
76%
客胜或平局
52%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
56%
否
44%
关键因素
- Mathematical analysis: Pipeline predictions favor a home win for Hoffenheim with 48% probability and 1.65 expected home goals
- Hoffenheim's home strength: TSG scores an average of 1.93 goals per home game
- Dortmund's consistency: Despite a recent loss, Borussia Dortmund shows a strong season performance with an average of 2.07 goals scored and 1.00 goal conceded per game
风险因素
- Dortmund's injury situation: Despite 81% of active goal share available, key players such as Serhou Guirassy (13G/2A), Felix Nmecha (2G/3A), and Ramy Bensebaini (4G/0A) are missing
- Hoffenheim's defensive vulnerability: TSG conceded an average of 2.4 goals in recent matches, compared to a season average of 1.48
概述
TSG Hoffenheim (6th place, 51 points) host Borussia Dortmund (2nd place, 64 points) at the PreZero Arena
Bundesliga match on April 18, 2026, 3:30 PM
A clash between a team competing for European spots and a top team in the league
近期状态
TSG Hoffenheim's form in the last 5 matches is WDL LD (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses)
Their last appearance resulted in a draw
Borussia Dortmund's form is WWWWL (4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss) in their last 5 matches
Their last appearance resulted in a loss
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
TSG Hoffenheim averages 1.97 goals scored and 1.48 goals conceded per game this season
At home, they average 1.93 goals scored and 1.13 goals conceded
Borussia Dortmund averages 2.07 goals scored and 1.00 goal conceded per game
Away from home, they average 2.08 goals scored and 1.15 goals conceded
For TSG Hoffenheim, 19 games saw both teams score, and 20 matches had over 2.5 goals
For Borussia Dortmund, 15 games saw both teams score, and 16 matches had over 2.5 goals
The PreZero Arena records an average of 2.6 goals per game in the last 5 matches
In 3 out of 5 games at the arena, both teams scored, and 3 out of 5 games had over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
The last 5 head-to-head matches saw a total of 15 goals
Borussia Dortmund won 3 of these 5 games, TSG Hoffenheim won 1 game, and 1 match ended in a draw
The last encounter on December 7, 2025, saw Borussia Dortmund win away with a score of 0:2
Borussia Dortmund has been more dominant in recent encounters
关键球员
For TSG Hoffenheim, Fisnik Asllani (9 goals, 7 assists) with stable form, Andrej Kramaric (10 goals, 5 assists) with declining form, and Bazoumana Touré (3 goals, 8 assists) with stable form are key
Not nominated: Grischa Prömel (7G/2A), Alexander Prass (3G/2A)
For Borussia Dortmund, Maximilian Beier (8 goals, 4 assists) with stable form, Julian Ryerson (0 goals, 13 assists) with stable form, and Nico Schlotterbeck (4 goals, 1 assist) with declining form stand out
Not nominated: Serhou Guirassy (13G/2A), Felix Nmecha (2G/3A), Ramy Bensebaini (4G/0A)
Wouter Burger, Vladimír Coufal, Ozan Kabak, and Tim Lemperle show declining form in their last 5 games
Marcel Sabitzer, Carney Chukwuemeka, and Niklas Süle show declining form in their last 5 games
门将
Oliver Baumann of TSG Hoffenheim recorded 6 clean sheets this season
Gregor Kobel of Borussia Dortmund kept 13 clean sheets this season
影响因素
TSG Hoffenheim shows a solid performance at home with 1.93 goals scored and 1.13 goals conceded per home game
The PreZero Arena has an average of 2.6 goals per match in the last 5 games
The playing surface is grass