Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach - FSV Mainz 05
04/19/2026, 05:30 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.4
1.0
1:1
14%1:0
11%0:0
11%2:0
9%2:1
9%xG 分解
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
44%
平局
31%
客胜
25%
进球数
Over 1.5
70%
Under 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
21%
Under 3.5
79%
双重机会
主胜或平局
75%
客胜或平局
56%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
48%
否
52%
关键因素
- The absence of Franck Honorat (23% of usual assists missing) weakens Gladbach's offense
- Both teams have recently shown a counter-attacking style of play with average possession under 45%
- The mathematical analysis sees Borussia Mönchengladbach as favorites with a 44% probability
风险因素
- FSV Mainz 05 had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Limited data available for duels in the last 5 games
- The history of head-to-head matches shows a balanced picture
概述
Borussia Mönchengladbach (15th place, 30 points) host FSV Mainz 05 (10th place, 33 points) at Stadion im Borussia-Park. The Bundesliga match takes place on April 19, 2026, 7:30 PM. Both teams are fighting for crucial points to stay clear of the relegation zone or reduce the gap to the upper half of the table.
近期状态
Borussia Mönchengladbach's form in the last five matches is LWDDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). The team recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Their last encounter ended in a loss.
FSV Mainz 05 comes into the match with WWWLL form, consisting of 3 wins and 2 losses. Their last two games both ended in losses, indicating a declining trend. In direct comparison, Mainz's current form with 3 wins is better than Gladbach's 1 win, although both teams suffered recent defeats.
统计数据
Borussia Mönchengladbach averages 1.21 goals scored per game this season and concedes 1.69 goals. At home, they average 1.2 goals and 1.53 goals conceded per home game. Gladbach kept 10 clean sheets this season.
FSV Mainz 05 also averages 1.21 goals scored per game this season but concedes 1.52 goals. Away from home, the average is 1.2 goals scored and 1.73 goals conceded per away game. Mainz recorded 3 clean sheets this season. In 2 of 5 matches at Stadion im Borussia-Park, both teams scored, and in 2 of 5 matches, more than 2.5 goals were scored. On average, 2.4 goals are scored in Gladbach's home games.
历史交锋
In the previous 5 head-to-head matches, there was a balanced record with 1 win each for Borussia Mönchengladbach and FSV Mainz 05, and 3 draws. Gladbach scored 6 goals, while Mainz scored 7. The last encounter on December 5, 2025, was won by Borussia Mönchengladbach with a 1-0 scoreline. Historically, neither team has been dominant.
关键球员
For Borussia Mönchengladbach, key attacking players include Haris Tabakovic (11 goals, 2 assists this season) and Jens Castrop (3 goals, 2 assists this season). Jens Castrop shows rising form with 2 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games. Defender Kevin Diks contributed 4 goals, but his form is declining.
On the FSV Mainz 05 side, Nadiem Amiri is the top scorer with 10 goals and 2 assists, but shows declining form. Paul Nebel (4 goals, 1 assist) and Phillip Tietz (3 goals, 2 assists) are in rising form, both scoring 2 goals in their last 5 appearances.
门将
Moritz Nicolas is the goalkeeper for Borussia Mönchengladbach, making 29 appearances this season and keeping 10 clean sheets. For FSV Mainz 05, Daniel Batz has played in 17 games and recorded 3 clean sheets. Nicolas has significantly more clean sheets.
影响因素
Matches at Stadion im Borussia-Park average 2.4 goals per game. In 2 out of 5 matches, both teams scored, and in 2 out of 5 matches, over 2.5 goals were scored. The playing surface is grass. Borussia Mönchengladbach scores an average of 1.2 goals at home and concedes 1.53. FSV Mainz 05 scores 1.2 goals away and concedes an average of 1.73.