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Bundesliga

FC Union Berlin - VfL Wolfsburg

04/18/2026, 01:30 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
FC Union Berlin
1.8
Total xG
2.7
VfL Wolfsburg
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

3:0

6%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
FUBVW

FC Union Berlin

最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.13
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.13
防守实力 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
+0.10
排名优势 (第11位 vs 第17位, 相差6位)
+0.05
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.77倍)
+0.04
Derrick Köhn替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
Stanley Nsoki替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均1.5球 vs 总体1.2球)

VfL Wolfsburg

防守不足 (场均失2.2球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.79
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.71倍)
-0.65
排名劣势 (第17位 vs 第11位, 相差6位)
-0.06
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.04
Saël Kumbedi替补席 (0球, 5助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.3球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.70
+0.70
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

55%

平局

26%

客胜

19%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

81%

客胜或平局

45%

非平局

74%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • Form: VfL Wolfsburg lost their last 3 games and is winless in the last 5, indicating weak current form
  • Defensive weakness: Wolfsburg concedes an average of 2.62 goals per away game, while Union Berlin scores 1.12 goals at home
  • Pipeline prediction: Mathematical analysis shows a home win for Union Berlin with 55% probability
风险因素
  • FC Union Berlin's goal production is stagnant (0.8 goals in recent games) compared to the season average (1.2 goals)
  • VfL Wolfsburg's goal production is stagnant (1.2 goals in recent games) compared to the season average (1.3 goals)
  • VfL Wolfsburg had only 7 days rest since their last match
概述

FC Union Berlin (11th place, 32 points) hosts VfL Wolfsburg (17th place, 21 points) at Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Bundesliga match on April 18, 2026, 3:30 PM

Union Berlin is in the mid-table, while Wolfsburg is in a relegation battle

Union aims to close the gap to the upper mid-table, VfL Wolfsburg fights for crucial points against relegation

近期状态

FC Union Berlin shows the form L-W-D-L-L (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) in their last five matches

The team achieved 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in these five games

VfL Wolfsburg presents with the form L-D-L-L-L

Wolfsburg failed to secure a win in their last five matches, recording 1 draw and 4 losses

Currently, Union Berlin has a streak of 1 loss, while Wolfsburg has suffered 3 consecutive losses

统计数据

Union Berlin scores an average of 1.14 goals per game and concedes 1.72 goals per game this season

At home, Union Berlin scores an average of 1.12 goals and concedes 1.29 goals per home game

VfL Wolfsburg has a season average of 1.34 goals scored and 2.24 goals conceded per game

Away from home, Wolfsburg scores an average of 1.38 goals and concedes 2.62 goals per away game

Union Berlin kept a clean sheet in 6 games, Wolfsburg in 1 game

Both teams scored in 17 of Union Berlin's games, and in 22 of Wolfsburg's games

At Stadion An der Alten Försterei, an average of 2.6 goals are scored per game

There, both teams scored in 3 out of 5 matches, and more than 2.5 goals were scored in 2 out of 5 matches

历史交锋

There have been a total of 5 head-to-head matches between the two teams

Union Berlin won 2 of these encounters, VfL Wolfsburg won 3

The goal difference is 4:6 in favor of VfL Wolfsburg

The last match on December 06, 2025, ended with a 1:3 victory for VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg was the most recent winner in this pairing

关键球员

For Union Berlin, Andrej Ilic is an important offensive player with 2 goals and 8 assists in 27 season appearances, his form is stable

Ilyas Ansah recorded 5 goals and 2 assists in 28 season appearances, but his form is declining

Rani Khedira contributed 5 goals and 1 assist in 28 season appearances, his form shows a declining trend

For VfL Wolfsburg, Mohamed Amoura scored 8 goals and 3 assists in 26 season appearances, his form is declining

Christian Eriksen with 3 goals and 6 assists in 26 season appearances shows a rising form with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games

Dzenan Pejcinovic contributed 6 goals in 25 season appearances, his form is stable

门将

FC Union Berlin's goalkeeper, Frederik Rönnow, made 28 season appearances with an average rating of 6.7

Union Berlin recorded 6 clean sheets this season

Kamil Grabara, VfL Wolfsburg's goalkeeper, played in 29 season appearances and has an average rating of 6.86

Wolfsburg managed to keep 1 clean sheet this season

影响因素

Union Berlin scores 1.12 goals at home and concedes 1.29 goals on average

At Stadion An der Alten Försterei, an average of 2.6 goals are scored per game

In 3 out of 5 matches at Stadion An der Alten Försterei, both teams scored

In 2 out of 5 matches at Stadion An der Alten Försterei, more than 2.5 goals were scored

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