FC Köln (12th place, 31 points) host Bayer 04 Leverkusen (6th place, 52 points) at the RheinEnergieStadion for a Bundesliga match on April 25, 2026, 3:30 PM

Leverkusen is fighting for an international spot, while Köln is in the middle of the table

The mathematical analysis predicts a close game with a home win probability of 38%, a draw of 28%, and an away win of 35% for Leverkusen

FC Köln is unbeaten in their last five matches, recording one win and four draws (D-D-D-W-D)

Most recently, Köln drew 1-1 against St. Pauli away and defeated Werder Bremen at home with a 3-1 score

Bayer 04 Leverkusen has two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five games (L-D-W-W-L)

Leverkusen lost their last match 1-2 at home against FC Augsburg, following a 1-0 away win against Borussia Dortmund

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

FC Köln has scored an average of 1.47 goals per game this season and conceded an average of 1.7 goals

Leverkusen is more offensively potent with an average of 2.0 goals per game, conceding 1.37 goals

Köln has achieved three clean sheets, while Leverkusen has eight

At the RheinEnergieStadion, the last five games have seen an average of 4.0 goals per match

In all these five stadium games, both teams scored and there were over 2.5 goals

The overall match is predicted to have a 60% probability for "Both Teams To Score" and 55% for "Over 2.5 Goals"

In the four head-to-head encounters over the last two years, FC Köln has not secured a single victory against Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Leverkusen won all four matches, achieving a goal difference of 10:2

The last meeting on December 13, 2025, ended with a 2-0 home victory for Bayer 04 Leverkusen

The record clearly shows the visitors' dominance

For FC Köln, Said El Mala (11 goals, 4 assists, Avg. 6.77), Jakub Kamiński (7 goals, 3 assists, Avg. 7.12) and Eric Martel (2 goals, 2 assists, Avg. 6.89) are key players

Additionally, Ragnar Ache (7 goals, 4 assists) and Jan Thielmann (3 goals, 1 assist) are not in the lineup

For Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Alejandro Grimaldo (8 goals, 7 assists, Avg. 7.47), Patrik Schick (11 goals, 3 assists, Avg. 7.01) and Aleix García (2 goals, 6 assists, Avg. 7.39) stand out

Marvin Schwäbe is FC Köln's goalkeeper with an average rating of 6.91 and three clean sheets this season

Janis Blaswich is in goal for Bayer 04 Leverkusen, holding an average rating of 7.11 in his appearances, with Leverkusen achieving a total of eight clean sheets this season

The RheinEnergieStadion, with a grass surface, is known for high-scoring games

In the last five matches at the stadium, an average of 4.0 goals were scored

In all these matches, both teams scored and the 2.5 goals mark was exceeded

FC Köln scores an average of 1.47 goals at home and concedes 1.32 goals

Bayer 04 Leverkusen scores an average of 1.93 goals away and concedes 1.71 goals