Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund - SC Freiburg
04/26/2026, 03:30 PM
预期进球
1.8
2.7
0.9
1:1
12%2:0
11%2:1
10%3:0
7%3:1
6%xG 分解
Borussia Dortmund
SC Freiburg
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
58%
平局
26%
客胜
16%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
双重机会
主胜或平局
84%
客胜或平局
42%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
50%
否
50%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis indicates a clear favorite role for Borussia Dortmund with 58%
- Borussia Dortmund shows strong home performance with an average of 2.06 goals scored and 0.88 goals conceded
- SC Freiburg is in strong form with 4 wins in their last 5 games and plays a counter-attacking style
风险因素
- SC Freiburg concedes an average of 2.55 goals per away game
- Borussia Dortmund's goal production is declining, averaging 1.6 goals in recent games compared to their season average of 2.1 goals
概述
Borussia Dortmund (2nd place, 64 points) host SC Freiburg (8th place, 43 points) at Signal Iduna Park
The Bundesliga match takes place on April 26, 2026, 4:30 PM
Dortmund are fighting for top positions, while Freiburg are contending for European qualification spots
近期状态
Borussia Dortmund's form in their last five matches across all competitions is WWWLL (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses)
Their last two matches ended in a loss
SC Freiburg's form is LWWWW (4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss)
Freiburg has won their last four matches and shows a strong rising form trend
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Borussia Dortmund averages 2.03 goals scored and 1.03 goals conceded per game
At home, they average 2.06 goals scored and only 0.88 goals conceded
Dortmund kept 13 clean sheets this season
Both teams scored in 16 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 17 matches
SC Freiburg averages 1.47 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded
Away from home, their defense is more vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.55 goals per game while scoring 1.45 goals
Freiburg recorded 6 clean sheets, both teams scored in 18 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 19 matches
At Signal Iduna Park, there has been an average of 3.0 goals per game
Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 out of 5 matches
历史交锋
In five head-to-head matches, Borussia Dortmund dominated with 4 wins and 1 draw
SC Freiburg has not won any of these encounters
The goal difference is clearly 16:4 in favor of Dortmund
The last match on December 14, 2025, ended in a 1:1 draw
The home team has been recently dominant in these direct encounters
关键球员
Key players for Borussia Dortmund include Serhou Guirassy (14 goals, 2 assists in 29 games), Julian Ryerson (13 assists in 27 games) and Nico Schlotterbeck (season average rating 7.31)
For SC Freiburg, Igor Matanovic (8 goals, 1 assist in 27 games), Vincenzo Grifo (7 goals, 3 assists in 29 games) and Maximilian Eggestein (3 goals, 1 assist in 30 games) are crucial
Not nominated for Dortmund is Daniel Svensson (2G/2A)
For Freiburg, Johan Manzambi (5G/2A), Yuito Suzuki (4G/3A), Matthias Ginter (2G/4A), Niklas Beste (1G/3A) and Philipp Treu (1G/2A) are not in the lineup
门将
Borussia Dortmund's goalkeeper Gregor Kobel recorded 13 clean sheets this season
Noah Atubolu, SC Freiburg's goalkeeper, achieved 6 clean sheets in the current season
影响因素
Borussia Dortmund benefits from a strong home advantage, averaging 2.06 home goals and only 0.88 goals conceded
SC Freiburg appears vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 2.55 goals
Signal Iduna Park sees an average of 3.0 goals per game
In 2 out of 5 matches, both teams scored, and in 2 out of 5 matches, over 2.5 goals were scored
The playing surface is grass