Bundesliga
Heidenheim - St. Pauli
04/25/2026, 01:30 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.7
1.2
1:1
14%2:1
9%1:2
7%2:0
7%2:2
5%xG 分解
Heidenheim
St. Pauli
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
41%
平局
29%
客胜
30%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
双重机会
主胜或平局
70%
客胜或平局
59%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
56%
否
44%
关键因素
- Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 41%
- Form and Offensive Trend: Heidenheim currently scores more frequently (1.8 goals) than their season average (1.1 goals)
- St. Pauli's Away Defensive Weakness: St. Pauli concedes an average of 1.92 goals per away game
风险因素
- St. Pauli's Stuttering Goal Production: Current goal production is low (0.6 goals), compared to their season average of 1.0 goals
- Vulnerable Defenses: Heidenheim concedes an average of 2.2 goals, and St. Pauli concedes 1.7 goals per game
概述
Heidenheim (18th place, 19 points) hosts St. Pauli (16th place, 26 points) at the Voith-Arena
The Bundesliga match takes place on April 25, 2026, 3:30 PM
Both teams are fighting against relegation from the Bundesliga
近期状态
Heidenheim's form in their last 5 games is LDDWL, consisting of 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
Their last match was a loss
St. Pauli's form over the last 5 games is LLDLD
They recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in this series
Their last game ended in a draw
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Heidenheim averages 1.1 goals scored per game and concedes an average of 2.2 goals
At home, they score 1.11 goals and concede 1.84 goals per home game
St. Pauli averages 0.87 goals scored per game and concedes 1.7 goals
Away from home, they score 0.85 goals and concede 1.92 goals per away game
The Voith-Arena has seen an average of 4.8 total goals in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 games
历史交锋
In the 3 previous head-to-head matches, Heidenheim secured 1 win and St. Pauli secured 2 wins
There were no draws
Heidenheim scored a total of 3 goals, while St. Pauli scored 4 goals
The last encounter on December 13, 2025, ended in a 2-1 victory for St. Pauli
关键球员
For Heidenheim, Marvin Pieringer (4 goals, 1 assist, avg 6.82), Patrick Mainka (2 goals, 2 assists, avg 6.98), and Budu Zivzivadze (3 goals, 0 assists, avg 6.63) are key players
Pieringer shows a rising form trend with 2 goals and 1 assist in 5 games
Zivzivadze also shows a rising form with 2 goals in 3 games
For St. Pauli, Danel Sinani (5 goals, 3 assists, avg 7.04), Andréas Hountondji (4 goals, 0 assists, avg 6.56), and Joel Chima Fujita (1 goal, 3 assists, avg 6.80) are crucial
Sinani has stable form, while Hountondji shows stable form with 0 goals and 0 assists in 5 games
门将
Heidenheim's goalkeeper Diant Ramaj has recorded 0 clean sheets this season
St. Pauli's goalkeeper Nikola Vasilj has 5 clean sheets
Vasilj shows a declining form in the last 5 games with an average rating of 6.44
影响因素
Heidenheim benefits from home advantage at the Voith-Arena
Their home goals of 1.11 and goals conceded of 1.84 per home game highlight this
The Voith-Arena has seen an average of 4.8 goals per match in the last 5 games, with a high probability of both teams scoring (80% BTTS) and over 2.5 goals (80% Over 2.5)