Bundesliga
Hamburger SV - TSG Hoffenheim
04/25/2026, 04:30 PM
预期进球
1.1
2.7
1.5
1:1
14%1:2
9%0:2
8%2:1
7%2:2
5%xG 分解
Hamburger SV
TSG Hoffenheim
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
27%
平局
29%
客胜
45%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
双重机会
主胜或平局
55%
客胜或平局
74%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
55%
否
45%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts an away win for TSG Hoffenheim with 45%
- TSG Hoffenheim holds a significantly higher position in the league table (6th vs 14th) and boasts a stronger offensive record this season (1.97 goals per game vs 1.1)
- TSG Hoffenheim averaged 4.2 shots on target in their last 5 matches, compared to Hamburger SV's 3.4
风险因素
- Hamburger SV averaged 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 matches
- TSG Hoffenheim concedes an average of 1.86 goals per away game
概述
Hamburger SV (14th place, 31 points) host TSG Hoffenheim (6th place, 54 points) at Volksparkstadion
Bundesliga match on April 25, 2026, 6:30 PM
The visitors are fighting for an international spot, while HSV is battling against relegation
近期状态
Hamburger SV's form across all competitions: DLDLL
TSG Hoffenheim's form across all competitions: DLLDW
In their last five league matches, HSV recorded three losses and two draws
TSG Hoffenheim achieved one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five games
统计数据
Hamburger SV averages 1.1 goals scored per game and concedes 1.6 goals per match
TSG Hoffenheim has a season average of 1.97 goals scored and 1.47 goals conceded per game
At home, HSV averages 1.11 goals scored and concedes 0.95 goals
Away from home, TSG Hoffenheim averages 2.0 goals scored and concedes 1.86 goals
In the last 5 matches at Volksparkstadion, an average of 2.6 goals were scored
Both teams scored in 80% of these matches, and 40% of them ended with over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
There has been 1 head-to-head match between these teams
The last encounter was won by TSG Hoffenheim with a score of 4:1 on December 13, 2025
TSG Hoffenheim dominated the most recent fixture
关键球员
For Hamburger SV, Fábio Vieira (5 goals, 5 assists, avg 7.1 rating), Ransford Königsdörffer (5 goals, 2 assists, avg 6.71 rating) and Robert Glatzel (2 goals, 2 assists, avg 6.66 rating) are key players
For TSG Hoffenheim, Andrej Kramaric (12 goals, 5 assists, avg 7.19 rating), Fisnik Asllani (9 goals, 7 assists, avg 7.01 rating) and Bazoumana Touré (3 goals, 8 assists, avg 6.92 rating) are notable
门将
Daniel Heuer Fernandes is the goalkeeper for Hamburger SV with 30 season appearances and 6 clean sheets
Oliver Baumann is the goalkeeper for TSG Hoffenheim with 30 season appearances and 6 clean sheets
Both goalkeepers have recorded the same number of clean sheets this season
影响因素
The Volksparkstadion recorded an average of 2.6 goals in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 80% of the games, and 40% of the games had over 2.5 goals
Hamburger SV scores an average of 1.11 goals at home and concedes 0.95 goals
TSG Hoffenheim scores an average of 2.0 goals away and concedes 1.86 goals