Bundesliga
SC Freiburg - VfL Wolfsburg
05/03/2026, 05:30 PM
预期进球
2.6
3.4
0.9
2:0
11%2:1
9%3:0
9%1:1
8%3:1
8%xG 分解
SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
73%
平局
17%
客胜
10%
进球数
Over 1.5
87%
Under 1.5
13%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%
Over 3.5
45%
Under 3.5
55%
双重机会
主胜或平局
90%
客胜或平局
27%
非平局
83%
双方进球
是
55%
否
45%
关键因素
- Favorites Role: Mathematical analysis predicts an SC Freiburg home win with 73% probability
- Home Strength vs. Away Weakness: Freiburg concedes only Ø 1.0 goals at home, while Wolfsburg allows Ø 2.33 goals away
- Form and Trend: Freiburg won 3 of their last 5 games, while Wolfsburg recorded 3 losses in their last 5 matches
风险因素
- Short Recovery Time: SC Freiburg has only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Limited Goal Production: SC Freiburg's goal production has recently stalled (1.4), with a season average of 1.6
- Defensive Weakness: Wolfsburg concedes an average of 2.33 goals per away game
概述
SC Freiburg (8th place, 43 points) host VfL Wolfsburg (17th place, 25 points) at the Europa-Park Stadion
Bundesliga match on May 3, 2026, 7:30 PM
Freiburg enters this encounter as the clear favorite against a relegation-threatened opponent
近期状态
Freiburg's form across all competitions is WWWLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
In their last five matches, SC Freiburg recorded 3 wins and 2 losses
Wolfsburg's form across all competitions is LLLWD
VfL Wolfsburg achieved 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last five games
SC Freiburg's goal production has recently stalled (1.4), while the season average is 1.6 goals
VfL Wolfsburg's form is stable, consistently scoring around 1.4 goals per game
统计数据
SC Freiburg averages 1.42 goals scored per game and concedes 1.68 goals
At home, they average 1.4 goals per home game and only 1 goal conceded on average
VfL Wolfsburg averages 1.32 goals scored and concedes 2.13 goals per game
Away from home, Wolfsburg's goal average is 1.33, while they concede an average of 2.33 goals
In Freiburg's home matches, an average of 3.6 goals were scored recently
Both teams scored in 3 out of 5 games at the Europa-Park Stadion
More than 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 of SC Freiburg's home matches
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, there were 5 encounters between both teams
SC Freiburg won 4 of these games, VfL Wolfsburg won 1
No match ended in a draw
SC Freiburg scored a total of 10 goals, VfL Wolfsburg 7
SC Freiburg won the last encounter on December 20, 2025, with a score of 4:3
关键球员
Vincenzo Grifo is a key player for Freiburg with 7 goals and 3 assists in 30 season appearances
Johan Manzambi contributed significantly with 5 goals and 2 assists in 24 games and shows a rising form trend
Yuito Suzuki scored 4 goals and 3 assists in 24 appearances, and his form trend is also rising
Christian Eriksen is important for Wolfsburg with 3 goals and 7 assists in 28 season appearances
Dzenan Pejcinovic contributed 7 goals in 27 games
Patrick Wimmer scored 4 goals and 3 assists in 23 matches and shows an upward trend in form
门将
Noah Atubolu, SC Freiburg's goalkeeper, played 31 season games and kept 6 clean sheets
Kamil Grabara, VfL Wolfsburg's goalkeeper, also featured in 31 matches and achieved 2 clean sheets
影响因素
SC Freiburg benefits from a home advantage, averaging 1.4 home goals and conceding only 1 goal per home game
The Europa-Park Stadion tends to offer high-scoring games, with an average of 3.6 goals per match
In 60% of the last 5 home games, both teams scored, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 80%
SC Freiburg has a short rest period with 3 days since their last match