Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach - Borussia Dortmund
05/03/2026, 03:40 PM
预期进球
1.1
2.3
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
12%1:0
10%0:1
10%2:1
8%xG 分解
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Dortmund
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
34%
平局
32%
客胜
34%
进球数
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
双重机会
主胜或平局
66%
客胜或平局
66%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
48%
否
52%
关键因素
- Uncertain match outcome: Mathematical analysis predicts a very close match with home win (34%), draw (32%), and away win (34%)
- Form discrepancy: Borussia Dortmund shows better form with 3 wins in their last 5 games compared to Borussia Mönchengladbach with 0 wins and 4 draws
- Head-to-head record: Borussia Dortmund dominated the last 5 encounters with 4 wins versus 0 for Gladbach
风险因素
- Limited data availability for total duels in the last 5 games for both teams
- Borussia Mönchengladbach's seasonal defense with an average of 1.61 goals conceded per game
概述
Borussia Mönchengladbach (14th place, 32 points) hosts Borussia Dortmund (2nd place, 67 points) at Stadion im Borussia-Park. The Bundesliga match takes place on May 3, 2026, 5:30 PM. Dortmund is fighting for Champions League spots, while Gladbach is in a relegation battle, just above the playoff zone.
近期状态
Borussia Mönchengladbach shows poor form with DDLDD in their last five games, corresponding to 0 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). Their last result was a draw. Borussia Dortmund is in better shape with WWLLW, recording 3 wins and 2 losses in their last five matches. Dortmund won their last game.
统计数据
Borussia Mönchengladbach averages 1.16 goals scored per game and concedes 1.61 goals this season. At home, the average is 1.19 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded. Borussia Dortmund is stronger offensively with an average of 2.1 goals per game and a solid defense conceding only 1 goal per game. Away from home, Dortmund averages 2.15 goals scored and concedes 1.31 goals. This venue has seen an average of 2.2 goals in the last 5 matches. Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 1 of 5 games.
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia Dortmund dominated with 4 wins compared to 0 for Borussia Mönchengladbach, with 1 draw. Dortmund scored a total of 12 goals, Gladbach 6 goals. The last encounter on December 19, 2025, ended with a 0:2 away win for Borussia Dortmund.
关键球员
For Borussia Mönchengladbach, Haris Tabakovic is the top scorer with 11 season goals and 2 assists, holding an average rating of 6.92. Franck Honorat contributed 2 goals and 6 assists. Defender Joe Scally also showed offensive presence with 2 goals and 3 assists. For Borussia Dortmund, Serhou Guirassy is the most dangerous attacker with 15 goals and 2 assists. Julian Ryerson is a key playmaker with 14 assists, while Julian Brandt added 7 goals and 4 assists.
门将
Moritz Nicolas is Borussia Mönchengladbach's goalkeeper with 11 clean sheets this season and an average rating of 7.13. Gregor Kobel guards Borussia Dortmund's goal, having recorded 14 clean sheets and a season rating of 6.87.
影响因素
Stadion im Borussia-Park has seen an average of 2.2 total goals in the last 5 matches, with a 'both teams to score' rate of 60% and an over 2.5 goals rate of 20%. The surface is grass. Borussia Mönchengladbach averages 1.19 goals scored at home and concedes 1.5 goals. Borussia Dortmund averages 2.15 goals scored away and concedes 1.31 goals.