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Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt - Hamburger SV

05/02/2026, 01:30 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.8
Total xG
2.8
Hamburger SV
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

3:0

6%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
EFHS

Eintracht Frankfurt

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.11
状态下滑 (1.4 vs 1.8 赛季平均)
-0.11
排名优势 (第7位 vs 第15位, 相差8位)
+0.07
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.78倍)
+0.06
Farès Chaïbi替补席 (2球, 9助攻)
Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab替补席 (2球, 4助攻)

Hamburger SV

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.67倍)
-0.56
防守不足 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.41
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第7位, 相差8位)
-0.08
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.08
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.08
William Mikelbrencis未进大名单 (0球, 4助攻)
Miro Muheim未进大名单 (0球, 4助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.69
+0.69
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

56%

平局

26%

客胜

18%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

82%

客胜或平局

44%

非平局

74%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis favors Eintracht Frankfurt with a home win probability of 56%
  • Eintracht Frankfurt is strong at home, scoring an average of 1.86 goals, while Hamburger SV concedes 2.73 goals per away game
  • Hamburger SV's poor form, with three consecutive losses and only one draw in their last five games, is a significant disadvantage
风险因素
  • Eintracht Frankfurt shows a negative trend in goal production, recently at 1.4 goals compared to a season average of 1.8 goals
  • Eintracht Frankfurt is missing key players Farès Chaïbi (2 goals / 9 assists) and Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab (2 goals / 4 assists), which reduces offensive power
  • Hamburger SV is missing players William Mikelbrencis (0 goals / 4 assists) and Miro Muheim (0 goals / 4 assists), which could affect assist production
概述

Eintracht Frankfurt (7th place, 43 points) hosts Hamburger SV (15th place, 31 points) at Deutsche Bank Park

Bundesliga match on May 2, 2026, 3:30 PM

Eintracht is fighting for international spots, while HSV is battling relegation

近期状态

Eintracht Frankfurt's last five games show a form of "LDWLD" (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Their last match ended in a draw

Hamburger SV's form is "LDLLL"

HSV's last match was a loss, and they have three consecutive losses

统计数据

Eintracht Frankfurt scores an average of 1.81 goals per game and concedes 1.87 goals

In home games, Eintracht scores 1.86 goals and concedes 1.64 goals

Hamburger SV scores an average of 1.1 goals and concedes 1.61 goals

Away from home, they score an average of 1.09 goals and concede 2.73 goals

Frankfurt's home games at Deutsche Bank Park see an average of 2.8 total goals

Both teams scored in 40% of home games at Deutsche Bank Park

60% of these matches had over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

There has been only one head-to-head match between Eintracht Frankfurt and Hamburger SV

This ended in a 1:1 draw on December 20, 2025

Both teams scored one goal each

The overall record is thus even

关键球员

For Eintracht Frankfurt, Jonathan Burkardt is a key player with 10 goals this season

Arnaud Kalimuendo contributed 2 goals in the last 5 games and has 6 season goals in total

Hugo Larsson showed rising form in the last 5 games with 1 goal

For Hamburger SV, Fábio Vieira is crucial with 5 goals and 5 assists this season

Robert Glatzel scored 2 goals in the last 5 games

Albert Sambi Lokonga scored once in the last 5 games

门将

Michael Zetterer of Eintracht Frankfurt has kept 7 clean sheets this season

His form trend shows a rising tendency with a last average rating of 7.25

Daniel Heuer Fernandes of Hamburger SV recorded 6 clean sheets

His current average rating is 6.83, indicating a stable trend

影响因素

Eintracht Frankfurt scores an average of 1.86 goals at home and concedes 1.64 goals

Hamburger SV scores an average of 1.09 goals away and concedes 2.73 goals

Matches at Deutsche Bank Park average 2.8 total goals

Both teams scored in 40% of games at Deutsche Bank Park

60% of these matches had over 2.5 goals

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