Bundesliga
St. Pauli - FSV Mainz 05
05/03/2026, 01:30 PM
预期进球
1.0
2.4
1.3
1:1
15%0:0
11%0:1
11%1:2
9%0:2
8%xG 分解
St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
27%
平局
31%
客胜
42%
进球数
Over 1.5
70%
Under 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
21%
Under 3.5
79%
双重机会
主胜或平局
58%
客胜或平局
73%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
49%
否
51%
关键因素
- Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis predicts an away win for FSV Mainz 05 with 42% probability
- Attacking Efficiency: FSV Mainz 05 recently shows higher shot efficiency with an average of 5.0 shots on target
- Home Form St. Pauli: St. Pauli has a negative form trend with 0 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 games
风险因素
- St. Pauli's Form: St. Pauli's goal production has stalled, averaging 0.6 goals recently compared to 0.9 in the season average
- Mainz's Defense: FSV Mainz 05 conceded an average of 2.0 goals in recent matches
- Data Availability for Duels: There is limited data available for the total duels in the last 5 games
概述
St. Pauli (16th place, 26 points) host FSV Mainz 05 (10th place, 34 points) at Millerntor-Stadion
This Bundesliga match takes place on May 3, 2026, 2:30 PM
St. Pauli are fighting for crucial points in the lower part of the table, while Mainz aim to consolidate their mid-table position
近期状态
St. Pauli's form is LDLDL
This corresponds to 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in the last 5 games
Their last result was a loss
FSV Mainz 05's form is WLLDL
That's 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses from the last 5 matches
Their last result was also a loss
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
St. Pauli scores an average of 0.84 goals and concedes 1.71 goals per game this season
At home, the average is 0.83 goals scored and 1.44 goals conceded
FSV Mainz 05 scores an average of 1.26 goals and concedes 1.58 goals per match
Away from home, it's 1.27 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded on average
An average of 2.6 goals are scored per game at Millerntor-Stadion
Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games, and there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 games
历史交锋
In 3 head-to-head matches, there have been 2 wins for FSV Mainz 05 and 1 draw
St. Pauli has not been able to win any of these duels so far
The goal difference is 0:5 in favor of FSV Mainz 05
The last encounter ended in a 0:0 draw on December 21, 2025
关键球员
For St. Pauli, Danel Sinani (5 goals, 3 assists) and Andréas Hountondji (4 goals) are offensively relevant
Joel Chima Fujita contributed 1 goal and 3 assists
For FSV Mainz 05, Nadiem Amiri is a key player with 11 goals and 2 assists
Paul Nebel contributed 5 goals and 1 assist
Sheraldo Becker proved dangerous with 2 goals and 2 assists
门将
Nikola Vasilj is St. Pauli's goalkeeper and achieved 5 clean sheets this season
Daniel Batz is FSV Mainz 05's goalkeeper with 3 clean sheets
影响因素
St. Pauli scored an average of 0.83 goals at home and conceded 1.44 goals
FSV Mainz 05 scored 1.27 goals away and conceded 1.8 goals
An average of 2.6 goals were scored per game in the last 5 matches at Millerntor-Stadion
Both teams scored in 3 out of 5 games there