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Bundesliga

FC Union Berlin - FC Köln

05/02/2026, 01:30 PM

2 : 2
预期进球
FC Union Berlin
1.4
Total xG
2.5
FC Köln
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

0:0

10%

1:0

10%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
FUBFK

FC Union Berlin

防守实力 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
+0.15
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.12
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.12
Andrej Ilic替补席 (2球, 9助攻)
Leopold Querfeld替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
Derrick Köhn替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
Christopher Trimmel替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均1.5球 vs 总体1.2球)

FC Köln

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.17
状态上升 (2 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.17
Ragnar Ache未进大名单 (7球, 4助攻)
Jan Thielmann替补席 (3球, 1助攻)
Ísak Jóhannesson未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.69
+0.69
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

42%

平局

30%

客胜

28%

进球数

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

45%

Under 2.5

55%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

双重机会

主胜或平局

72%

客胜或平局

58%

非平局

70%

双方进球

52%

48%

关键因素
  • Mathematical analysis prediction: Union Berlin has a 42% home win probability and a 72% chance of not losing
  • Offensive form: FC Köln shows a positive attacking form development with an average of 2.0 goals recently, while Union Berlin's goal production is stagnant (0.8 goals)
  • Historical home advantage: Union Berlin has dominated recent direct home encounters, most recently winning 1:0 on December 20, 2025
风险因素
  • Köln's away defense: On average, FC Köln concedes 2.36 goals per away game
  • Union's defensive weakness: Union Berlin conceded an average of 2.6 goals in their last 5 games
  • Limited data availability: Information on duels is not fully available
概述

FC Union Berlin (13th place, 32 points) host FC Köln (14th place, 31 points) at Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Bundesliga match on May 2, 2026, 3:30 PM

A crucial game in the fight for Bundesliga survival in the lower mid-table

近期状态

The home team, FC Union Berlin, shows the form "LDLLL"

This means 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses in the last 5 games

They recently suffered 3 consecutive losses

FC Köln presents with the form "DDWDL"

This corresponds to 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches

Recently, a loss after a draw

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Union Berlin scores an average of 1.13 goals per game and concedes 1.77 goals

Köln has a season average of 1.45 goals scored and 1.71 goals conceded

Union Berlin kept 6 clean sheets, Köln 3 clean sheets

At Stadion An der Alten Försterei, an average of 2.6 goals are scored per game

Both teams scored in 80% of the last 5 games at this stadium

More than 2.5 goals were scored in 40% of these matches

历史交锋

In 3 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin secured 2 wins and FC Köln 1 win

Union Berlin scored a total of 5 goals, while Köln scored 3 goals

Union Berlin won the last encounter 1:0 on December 20, 2025

Union Berlin dominated recent encounters

关键球员

For Union Berlin, Oliver Burke, Ilyas Ansah, and Danilho Doekhi are in focus

Oliver Burke scored 1 goal in the last 5 games, his season average is 5 goals and 1 assist

Ilyas Ansah has scored 5 goals and provided 2 assists in 30 season appearances, with no goals in his last 4 games

Danilho Doekhi, a defender, has 5 season goals and scored 1 goal in his last 5 appearances

Not selected are Andrej Ilic (2 goals, 9 assists), Leopold Querfeld (3 goals), Derrick Köhn (1 goal, 2 assists), and Christopher Trimmel (2 assists)

For FC Köln, Said El Mala, Jakub Kamiński, and Luca Waldschmidt are to be highlighted

Said El Mala scored 11 times and provided 5 assists this season, including 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games

Jakub Kamiński has 7 season goals and 3 assists, with 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games, showing rising form

Luca Waldschmidt scored 2 goals in only 80 minutes played in the last 5 games, with a total of 5 goals and 4 assists this season

Not selected are Ragnar Ache (7 goals, 4 assists), Jan Thielmann (3 goals, 1 assist), and Ísak Jóhannesson (1 goal, 2 assists)

门将

For Union Berlin, Carl Klaus starts, having made 1 appearance this season

Marvin Schwäbe is in goal for FC Köln and has made 31 season appearances

Union Berlin recorded 6 clean sheets this season

FC Köln kept 3 clean sheets

影响因素

Union Berlin scored 20 home goals and conceded 24 goals at Stadion An der Alten Försterei

The stadium shows an average of 2.6 goals per game

Both teams scored in 80% of the last 5 home games

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