🇩🇪

Bundesliga

Werder Bremen - FC Augsburg

05/02/2026, 01:30 PM

1 : 3
预期进球
Werder Bremen
1.5
Total xG
2.7
FC Augsburg
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

1:2

7%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
WBFA

Werder Bremen

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.78倍)
-0.34
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.06
防守实力 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
+0.05
Romano Schmid未进大名单 (3球, 8助攻)
Yukinari Sugawara未进大名单 (0球, 6助攻)
Justin Njinmah替补席 (5球, 0助攻)
Marco Grüll替补席 (3球, 1助攻)
Cameron Puertas未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
94%进球产出缺失 (仅5%可用)

FC Augsburg

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.09
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.09
Alexis Claude-Maurice未进大名单 (5球, 5助攻)
Fabian Rieder未进大名单 (6球, 3助攻)
Dimitrios Giannoulis未进大名单 (2球, 4助攻)
Michael Gregoritsch未进大名单 (4球, 1助攻)
Robin Fellhauer未进大名单 (2球, 2助攻)
Anton Kade替补席 (4球, 0助攻)
Han-Noah Massengo未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
Arthur Chaves替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
100%进球产出缺失 (仅0%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.69
+0.69
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

42%

平局

29%

客胜

30%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

双重机会

主胜或平局

70%

客胜或平局

58%

非平局

71%

双方进球

56%

44%

关键因素
  • Critical squad situation for Werder Bremen: Only 6% of the usual starting XI goal threat is available, without players like Romano Schmid (3G/8A) and Justin Njinmah (5G/0A)
  • Severe personnel gaps for FC Augsburg: Only 0% of the usual starting XI goal threat is available, as key players like Alexis Claude-Maurice (5G/5A) and Fabian Rieder (6G/3A) are not in the lineup
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Werder Bremen with a probability of 42%
风险因素
  • FC Augsburg concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away game
  • Werder Bremen concedes an average of 1.74 goals per game this season
  • FC Augsburg averaged only 38% possession in their last 5 games, potentially leading to sustained pressure
概述

Werder Bremen (12th place, 32 points) host FC Augsburg (9th place, 37 points) at the Wohninvest Weserstadion

Bundesliga match on May 2, 2026, 3:30 PM

Both teams are in the mid-lower half of the table and aim to solidify their position

近期状态

Werder Bremen's form in the last 5 games is WLLWD

This equates to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

FC Augsburg's form in their last 5 matches is LDDWD

This consists of 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss

统计数据

Werder Bremen averages 1.16 goals scored and 1.74 goals conceded per game this season

At home, they average 1.12 goals scored and 1.62 goals conceded per game

FC Augsburg averages 1.26 goals scored and 1.77 goals conceded per game

In away matches, they average 1.21 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded per game

The Wohninvest Weserstadion sees an average of 2.8 total goals per game

Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 matches (40% BTTS), and over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 out of 5 matches (60%)

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Werder Bremen secured 2 wins and FC Augsburg 1 win

2 matches ended in a draw

Werder Bremen scored 7 goals in these encounters, while FC Augsburg managed 4 goals

The last encounter on December 20, 2025, ended in a 0-0 draw

Werder Bremen has been the more dominant side in recent direct clashes

关键球员

For Werder Bremen, Olivier Deman (Defender) shows a stable form trend

His average rating in the last 5 games was 6.80 compared to 6.93 for the season

For FC Augsburg, goalkeeper Finn Dahmen displays a rising form trend

His average rating increased from 6.81 for the season to 7.12 in the last 5 games

门将

Werder Bremen's goalkeeper Mio Backhaus recorded 3 clean sheets in home games this season

FC Augsburg's goalkeeper Finn Dahmen achieved 5 clean sheets this season, but none in away games

影响因素

Werder Bremen's home goals scored average is 1.12, with 1.62 goals conceded

FC Augsburg's away goals scored average is 1.21, with 2.0 goals conceded

The Wohninvest Weserstadion has an average of 2.8 total goals per game

Both teams scored in 40% of matches, and 60% had over 2.5 goals

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。