Bundesliga
FC Bayern München - Heidenheim
05/02/2026, 01:30 PM
预期进球
2.8
3.7
0.9
3:0
9%2:1
9%3:1
8%4:0
6%4:1
6%xG 分解
FC Bayern München
Heidenheim
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
77%
平局
15%
客胜
8%
进球数
Over 1.5
89%
Under 1.5
11%
Over 2.5
72%
Under 2.5
28%
Over 3.5
51%
Under 3.5
49%
双重机会
主胜或平局
92%
客胜或平局
23%
非平局
85%
双方进球
是
57%
否
43%
关键因素
- Critical squad shortage for FC Bayern München: Only 49% of the usual starting XI goal threat is available, without Michael Olise, Luis Díaz, Joshua Kimmich, Raphaël Guerreiro, and Alphonso Davies
- The mathematical analysis predicts a 77% probability of a home win for FC Bayern München, with an average of 2.84 expected goals
- Bayern's strong home offense (Avg. 3.75 goals) meets Heidenheim's weak away defense (Avg. 2.82 goals conceded)
风险因素
- FC Bayern München has only 4 days of rest since their last match
- Heidenheim concedes an average of 2.82 goals per away game
概述
FC Bayern München (1st place, 82 points) host Heidenheim (18th place, 22 points) at the Allianz Arena
Bundesliga match on May 2, 2026, 3:30 PM
The record champions are clear league leaders, while Heidenheim are at the bottom fighting for survival
近期状态
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
FC Bayern München shows strong form with 4 wins and 1 loss (WWWWL) in their last 5 matches
Their only defeat was recently against Paris Saint Germain
Heidenheim recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss (DDWLW) in their last 5 matches
They recently secured a win against St. Pauli
Bayern are currently scoring more frequently (Avg. 4.2 goals) than their season average (Avg. 3.5 goals)
Heidenheim is also currently scoring more frequently (Avg. 2.2 goals) than their season average (Avg. 1.1 goals)
统计数据
FC Bayern München scores an impressive average of 3.65 goals per game and concedes 1.03 goals over the season
In home games, Bayern are even stronger with an average of 3.75 goals scored and 0.94 goals conceded
Heidenheim scores an average of 1.13 goals and concedes 2.13 goals per game this season
Away from home, Heidenheim concedes an average of 2.82 goals per game
At the Allianz Arena, the last 5 matches saw an average of 5.4 total goals per game
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 matches, and all 5 matches had over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
In 5 previous head-to-head matches, FC Bayern München dominated with 4 wins compared to 1 win for Heidenheim
The goal difference is 18:7 in favor of Bayern
FC Bayern München won the last encounter away with a 4:0 score
关键球员
For FC Bayern München, Nicolas Jackson (3 goals, 1 assist in 4/5 games, Avg. 7.20), Jamal Musiala (2 goals, 3 assists in 5/5 games, Avg. 7.05), and Leon Goretzka (2 goals, 1 assist in 4/5 games, Avg. 7.06) are in good recent form
For Heidenheim, Budu Zivzivadze (3 goals in 4/5 games, Avg. 7.30), Marvin Pieringer (2 goals, 1 assist in 5/5 games, Avg. 7.25), and Patrick Mainka (1 goal, 1 assist in 5/5 games, Avg. 7.24) stand out
门将
FC Bayern München's goalkeeper, Jonas Urbig, has a season average rating of 6.9
The team achieved 11 clean sheets this season
Heidenheim's goalkeeper, Diant Ramaj, has a season average rating of 6.82
His team recorded 1 clean sheet this season
影响因素
The Allianz Arena proves to be a high-scoring venue with an average of 5.4 goals per game in the last 5 matches
FC Bayern München is strong at home with an average of 3.75 goals scored and only 0.94 goals conceded per home game
Heidenheim concedes an average of 2.82 goals per game away and scored an average of 1.09 goals away