Bundesliga
Bayer 04 Leverkusen - RB Leipzig
05/02/2026, 04:30 PM
预期进球
1.7
3.2
1.6
1:1
12%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:2
7%2:0
6%xG 分解
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
RB Leipzig
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
40%
平局
26%
客胜
34%
进球数
Over 1.5
85%
Under 1.5
15%
Over 2.5
63%
Under 2.5
37%
Over 3.5
41%
Under 3.5
59%
双重机会
主胜或平局
66%
客胜或平局
60%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
66%
否
34%
关键因素
- Pipeline forecast: Mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 40% probability
- Strong form of both teams: RB Leipzig is in top form with five consecutive wins, Leverkusen also with a good recent record (3 wins, 1 draw)
- Offensive strength: According to advanced stats, both teams show positive form and are currently scoring more frequently than their season average (Leverkusen 2.6 vs 1.9, Leipzig 2.8 vs 2.1)
风险因素
- The high probability of both teams scoring (66%) and over 2.5 goals (63%) suggests an open game
- RB Leipzig's flawless form (5 consecutive wins) could challenge Leverkusen's home strength
概述
Bayer 04 Leverkusen (6th place, 55 points) host RB Leipzig (3rd place, 62 points) at the BayArena
Bundesliga match on May 2, 2026, 6:30 PM
Leverkusen is fighting for European spots, while Leipzig aims to secure Champions League qualification
近期状态
Bayer 04 Leverkusen shows a form of DWWLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) across all competitions
In their last five matches, they recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
RB Leipzig boasts a perfect form of WWWWW
Leipzig won all of their last five matches in a row
统计数据
Bayer 04 Leverkusen scored an average of 2.00 goals per game this season and conceded 1.35 goals
At home, they averaged 2.06 goals scored and 1.06 goals conceded
RB Leipzig also scored an average of 2.00 goals per game and conceded 1.23 goals
Away from home, Leipzig scored an average of 2.00 goals and conceded 1.58 goals
At the BayArena, the last 5 matches saw an average of 3.6 goals per game
In all of these 5 matches, both teams scored, while only 2 of these 5 matches had over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, there were 3 wins for Bayer 04 Leverkusen, 1 win for RB Leipzig, and 1 draw
Bayer Leverkusen scored 13 goals, Leipzig 10 goals
The last encounter was won by Leverkusen with a 3:1 score on December 20, 2025
关键球员
For Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Patrik Schick with 13 goals and 3 assists, and Alejandro Grimaldo with 8 goals and 7 assists are key players
Aleix García also proved to be a strong performer with 2 goals and 6 assists
For RB Leipzig, Christoph Baumgartner with 12 goals and 8 assists, Yan Diomande with 12 goals and 7 assists, and Rômulo with 9 goals and 5 assists stand out
Patrik Schick and Alejandro Grimaldo show a positive form trend
门将
In goal for Bayer 04 Leverkusen is Mark Flekken, who featured in 21 season appearances
The home team kept 8 clean sheets this season
RB Leipzig's goalkeeper is Maarten Vandevoordt, who participated in 10 season appearances
The away team recorded 11 clean sheets this season
影响因素
The BayArena saw an average of 3.6 goals per game in the last five matches
Both teams scored in all of these matches
Bayer 04 Leverkusen shows a strong offense at home with an average of 2.06 goals per game and concedes 1.06 goals
The grass surface of the stadium offers normal playing conditions