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Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg - FC Bayern München

05/09/2026, 04:30 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
VfL Wolfsburg
1.3
Total xG
3.2
FC Bayern München
1.9
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

1:2

10%

0:2

8%

2:1

6%

1:3

6%
xG 分解
VWFBM

VfL Wolfsburg

排名劣势 (第16位 vs 第1位, 相差15位)
-0.23
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.12
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.01
Mohamed Amoura未进大名单 (8球, 3助攻)
Aaron Zehnter替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
12%进球产出缺失 (仅100%可用)

FC Bayern München

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.41倍)
+0.39
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.25
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第16位, 相差15位)
+0.14
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均3.2球)
-0.08
Luis Díaz替补席 (15球, 13助攻)
Konrad Laimer替补席 (3球, 8助攻)
Aleksandar Pavlovic替补席 (3球, 1助攻)
Jonathan Tah替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
Alphonso Davies未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均2.3球 vs 总体3.5球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.72
+0.72
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

24%

平局

25%

客胜

52%

进球数

Over 1.5

84%

Under 1.5

16%

Over 2.5

62%

Under 2.5

38%

Over 3.5

40%

Under 3.5

60%

双重机会

主胜或平局

48%

客胜或平局

76%

非平局

75%

双方进球

63%

37%

关键因素
  • Offensive strength versus defensive weakness: Bayern scores 3.63 goals/game, Wolfsburg concedes 2.09 goals/game
  • Historical dominance: Bayern won all 5 direct duels with a goal difference of 18:6
  • Table position and form: Bayern are league leaders, Wolfsburg is in relegation battle and in poor form (pipelinePrediction: 52% away win)
风险因素
  • Short rest period for FC Bayern München with only 3 days since their last match
  • FC Bayern München's increased defensive vulnerability, conceding an average of 2.8 goals in recent matches
  • VfL Wolfsburg recently showed some resilience with two consecutive draws
概述

VfL Wolfsburg (16th place, 26 points) host FC Bayern München (1st place, 83 points) at the Volkswagen Arena

Bundesliga match on May 9, 2026, 6:30 PM

Bayern are clear league leaders, while Wolfsburg are fighting against relegation

近期状态

VfL Wolfsburg's form across all competitions is: LLWDD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

This reflects 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

Their last two matches ended in draws

FC Bayern München's form is: WWLDD

This indicates 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss

Bayern also drew their last two games

统计数据

VfL Wolfsburg averages 1.31 goals scored and 2.09 goals conceded per game this season

At home, they score an average of 1.31 goals and concede 1.94 goals per home game

Wolfsburg kept 2 clean sheets

FC Bayern München boasts an average of 3.63 goals scored and only 1.09 goals conceded per match

Away from home, they score an average of 3.53 goals and concede 1.13 goals

The team recorded 11 clean sheets

The Volkswagen Arena has historically seen an average of 2.4 total goals per game

Both teams scored in 60% of matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 60% of matches

VfL Wolfsburg is currently scoring more frequently (1.8) than their season average (1.4), with a positive form trend

FC Bayern München consistently scores (~3.3 goals per game), with stable form

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, VfL Wolfsburg secured 0 wins and FC Bayern München achieved 5 wins

There were no draws

The goal difference stands at 6:18 in favor of Bayern

The last encounter on January 11, 2026, resulted in an 8-1 victory for FC Bayern München

FC Bayern München has been dominant in recent meetings

关键球员

For VfL Wolfsburg, key players include Christian Eriksen (3 goals, 8 assists, avg rating 7.01), Dzenan Pejcinovic (7 goals, avg rating 6.76), and Patrick Wimmer (4 goals, 3 assists, avg rating 6.77)

Wimmer showed a rising form with 1 goal in 365 minutes and a rating of 7.19

For FC Bayern München, Harry Kane (33 goals, 5 assists, avg rating 7.85), Michael Olise (13 goals, 19 assists, avg rating 7.8), and Joshua Kimmich (2 goals, 6 assists, avg rating 7.65) are notable

Kane scored 4 goals and 1 assist in 331 minutes, Olise 2 goals and 1 assist in 331 minutes

Kimmich provided 1 assist in 331 minutes

门将

Kamil Grabara is the goalkeeper for VfL Wolfsburg with 32 season appearances

The team recorded 2 clean sheets this season

Jonas Urbig starts for FC Bayern München with 12 season appearances

FC Bayern München achieved 11 clean sheets this season

影响因素

VfL Wolfsburg's home advantage is reflected in an average of 1.31 home goals scored against 1.94 goals conceded

The Volkswagen Arena shows an average of 2.4 goals per game

Both teams scored in 60% of matches at this stadium, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 60%

The match will be played on grass

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