Champions League
Arsenal - Atlético Madrid
05/05/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
2.2
3.1
0.9
2:0
11%1:1
10%2:1
10%3:0
8%3:1
7%xG 分解
Arsenal
Atlético Madrid
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
66%
平局
21%
客胜
13%
进球数
Over 1.5
83%
Under 1.5
17%
Over 2.5
61%
Under 2.5
39%
Over 3.5
39%
Under 3.5
61%
双重机会
主胜或平局
87%
客胜或平局
34%
非平局
79%
双方进球
是
55%
否
45%
关键因素
- Pipeline's Forecast: The mathematical analysis indicates a 66% probability of a home win for Arsenal
- Table Position: Arsenal leads the Champions League table with 24 points, while Atlético Madrid is in 14th place
- Home Strength: Arsenal scores an average of 1.90 goals per home game and concedes only 0.52 goals
风险因素
- Limited data availability for similar weather conditions
- Arsenal had only 3 days rest since their last match
- Atlético Madrid had only 3 days rest since their last match
概述
Arsenal (1st place, 24 points) hosts Atlético Madrid (14th place, 13 points) at the Emirates Stadium for a Champions League match on May 5, 2026, 8:00 PM
Arsenal leads the table with an impressive record
The mathematical analysis considers Arsenal the clear favorite with a 66% probability of a home win
近期状态
Arsenal's form in their last five matches is DLWDW
This translates to 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
Their last result was a 3-0 victory against Fulham
Atlético Madrid also shows a form of DLWDW
This means 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five games
Their last match ended in a 2-0 victory against Valencia
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Arsenal has scored an average of 1.91 goals and conceded 0.74 goals per game this season
At home, Arsenal averages 1.90 goals scored and 0.52 goals conceded
The team recorded 17 clean sheets
Atlético Madrid averages 1.71 goals scored and 1.09 goals conceded per game
Away, their average is 1.67 goals scored and 1.75 goals conceded per game
Atlético Madrid kept 13 clean sheets this season
The Emirates Stadium sees an average of 1.8 total goals per game
Both teams scored in 20% of matches, and over 2.5 goals occurred in 40% of matches
历史交锋
In the 2 previous head-to-head matches, Arsenal secured 1 win and there was 1 draw
Atlético Madrid has not yet won a match against Arsenal
Arsenal scored 5 goals, while Atlético Madrid scored 1 goal
The last encounter on April 29, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw
Arsenal has shown to be the more dominant team in recent direct matchups
关键球员
For Arsenal, Viktor Gyökeres is a key offensive player with 5 goals and 2 assists, holding an average rating of 6.93
He scored 3 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games with a rating of 7.11, showing a stable form trend
Bukayo Saka contributes 2 goals and 2 assists with a rating of 7.18, and his form is rising
Leandro Trossard provided 1 goal and 4 assists with an average rating of 7.03 and stable form
For Atlético Madrid, Julián Alvarez is the top scorer with 10 goals and 4 assists (average rating 7.69)
He scored 2 goals in his last 3 games with a rating of 7.68, and his form trend is stable
Antoine Griezmann has 2 goals and 3 assists with an average rating of 6.98 and stable form
Ademola Lookman contributed 2 goals and 2 assists with an average rating of 7.03 and a stable form trend
门将
Arsenal's goalkeeper, David Raya, has a season average rating of 7.16
Arsenal has achieved 17 clean sheets this season
For Atlético Madrid, goalkeeper Jan Oblak has a season average rating of 6.70
Atlético Madrid recorded 13 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Arsenal's home strength is evident with an average of 1.90 goals scored and only 0.52 goals conceded at home
The Emirates Stadium averages 1.8 goals per game
Both teams score in 20% of matches and over 2.5 goals occur in 40% of matches at this venue