Champions League
Paris Saint Germain - FC Bayern München
04/28/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.6
3.2
1.6
1:1
12%2:1
8%1:2
8%2:2
7%2:0
5%xG 分解
Paris Saint Germain
FC Bayern München
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
37%
平局
26%
客胜
36%
进球数
Over 1.5
84%
Under 1.5
16%
Over 2.5
61%
Under 2.5
39%
Over 3.5
39%
Under 3.5
61%
双重机会
主胜或平局
64%
客胜或平局
63%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
64%
否
36%
关键因素
- FC Bayern München's offensive power: FC Bayern München is clearly more offensively potent this season with an average of 3.65 goals per game compared to Paris Saint Germain (2.27 goals)
- Current top form of both teams: Both teams have won their last five matches, indicating a high level of performance
- Historical Bayern dominance: In the 2 previous head-to-head matches, FC Bayern München won both encounters, which speaks for the visitors
风险因素
- Short recovery time for FC Bayern München: The visitors had only 3 days of rest since their last match, which could lead to fatigue
- Potentially high-scoring match: Mathematical analysis predicts a high probability of both teams scoring (65%) and over 2.5 goals (61%)
概述
Paris Saint Germain (11th place, 14 points) hosts FC Bayern München (2nd place, 21 points) at the Parc des Princes
Champions League match on April 28, 2026, 9:00 PM
The mathematical analysis predicts a close match with a 37% home win probability and a 36% away win probability
The model expects 1.59 goals for PSG and 1.57 goals for Bayern
近期状态
Paris Saint Germain shows excellent form in the last 5 games: WWWWW
This corresponds to 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses
FC Bayern München also displays flawless form: WWWWW
This corresponds to 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses
Both teams won their last 5 matches
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Paris Saint Germain averages 2.27 goals scored and 0.83 goals conceded per season
FC Bayern München is offensively stronger with an average of 3.65 goals per game but concedes 1.03 goals
The Parc des Princes sees an average of 3.8 goals per game
Both teams scored in 60% of matches at the Parc des Princes, and 80% ended with over 2.5 goals
PSG is strong at home with 2.24 goals scored and only 0.59 goals conceded per home game
Bayern is also very offensively strong away with 3.53 goals scored and 1.13 goals conceded per away game
历史交锋
In 2 head-to-head matches, FC Bayern München dominated with 2 wins and 0 losses
Bayern scored 3 goals, while Paris Saint Germain scored 1 goal
The last encounter on November 4, 2025, ended with a 2-1 away win for FC Bayern München
The historical record favors the visitors
关键球员
For Paris Saint Germain, key players are in top form
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia has 8 season goals and 5 assists with a season average rating of 7.65
Ousmane Dembélé has recently been strong with 4 goals and 1 assist in 4 of 5 games with rising form
Achraf Hakimi contributed significantly to the offense with 7 assists and has a seasonal average rating of 7.36
On the FC Bayern München side, Harry Kane is an important attacker with 12 season goals and 4 goals in the last 4 games
Michael Olise has 4 season goals and 6 assists, with 3 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games
Jamal Musiala is an offensive playmaker with 2 goals and 3 assists in the last 5 games with rising form
门将
Paris Saint Germain's goalkeeper Matvey Safonov has a seasonal average rating of 7.08 and maintained a rating of 6.67 in his last 5 appearances
FC Bayern München's goalkeeper Manuel Neuer has a seasonal average rating of 6.97 and achieved a rating of 7.02 in his last 3 appearances
Paris Saint Germain recorded 16 clean sheets this season, Bayern 11 clean sheets
影响因素
The Parc des Princes is considered a high-scoring venue with an average of 3.8 goals per game
Paris Saint Germain performs very strongly at home with 2.24 goals scored and 0.59 goals conceded per game
FC Bayern München is also an offensive powerhouse away with 3.53 goals and 1.13 goals conceded per game