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Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund - Eintracht Frankfurt

05/08/2026, 06:30 PM

3 : 2
预期进球
Borussia Dortmund
2.2
Total xG
3.2
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

10%

2:1

10%

2:0

10%

3:1

7%

3:0

7%
xG 分解
BDEF

Borussia Dortmund

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.36倍)
+0.54
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.50
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.20
状态下滑 (1.4 vs 2.1 赛季平均)
-0.20
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第8位, 相差6位)
+0.06
Ramy Bensebaini未进大名单 (5球, 2助攻)
Daniel Svensson替补席 (2球, 2助攻)

Eintracht Frankfurt

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.11
状态下滑 (1.4 vs 1.8 赛季平均)
-0.11
排名劣势 (第8位 vs 第2位, 相差6位)
-0.07
Jonathan Burkardt替补席 (10球, 1助攻)
Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab替补席 (2球, 4助攻)
Hugo Larsson替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
Oscar Højlund替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.3球 vs 总体1.8球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.72
+0.72
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

63%

平局

22%

客胜

15%

进球数

Over 1.5

84%

Under 1.5

16%

Over 2.5

62%

Under 2.5

38%

Over 3.5

40%

Under 3.5

60%

双重机会

主胜或平局

85%

客胜或平局

37%

非平局

78%

双方进球

58%

42%

关键因素
  • Mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 63% for Borussia Dortmund
  • Borussia Dortmund shows strong home performance with an average of 2.06 goals scored and only 0.78 goals conceded per home game
  • Eintracht Frankfurt is defensively vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 2.06 goals per away game
风险因素
  • Borussia Dortmund's average shots on target in their last 5 games is only 2.6
  • Both teams' goal production shows a negative trend according to advanced statistics
  • Eintracht Frankfurt averaged 5.6 shots on target in their last 5 games and could pose an offensive threat
概述

Borussia Dortmund (2nd place, 67 points) host Eintracht Frankfurt (8th place, 43 points) at Signal Iduna Park. The Bundesliga match takes place on May 8, 2026, 8:30 PM. BVB aims to solidify their Champions League position, while Frankfurt battles for a European qualification spot

近期状态

Borussia Dortmund's form in their last five league matches is WLLWL (2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses). Most recently, BVB lost 0-1 away against Borussia Mönchengladbach. Eintracht Frankfurt shows a form of DWLDL (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses) in their last five games. In their last match, Eintracht lost 1-2 at home against Hamburger SV

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Borussia Dortmund averages 2.03 goals scored per game and concedes 1.0 goals. At home, they average 2.06 goals scored and 0.78 goals conceded. Eintracht Frankfurt averages 1.78 goals scored per game and concedes 1.88 goals. Away from home, Frankfurt concedes an average of 2.06 goals per game. At Signal Iduna Park, an average of 3.4 goals are scored per game. Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 matches, and 3 out of 5 matches had over 2.5 goals. Borussia Dortmund's goal production has slowed with 1.4 goals recently compared to their season average of 2.1 goals. Eintracht Frankfurt's goal production has also slowed with 1.4 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.8 goals

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia Dortmund secured 2 wins, Eintracht Frankfurt 1 win, and there were 2 draws. Borussia Dortmund scored 9 goals and conceded 7. The last encounter on January 9, 2026, ended in a 3-3 draw. Borussia Dortmund has been dominant in recent home encounters

关键球员

For Borussia Dortmund, Serhou Guirassy is a key player with 15 season goals and 2 assists, as is Julian Ryerson with 14 season assists. Julian Brandt contributes 7 goals and 4 assists. For Eintracht Frankfurt, Can Uzun stands out with 7 goals and 6 assists. Farès Chaïbi is an important playmaker with 9 assists, while Arnaud Kalimuendo contributed 6 season goals and scored 2 goals in his last 5 games

门将

Borussia Dortmund's goalkeeper Gregor Kobel recorded 14 clean sheets this season. Michael Zetterer, Eintracht Frankfurt's goalkeeper, registered 7 clean sheets. At home, Dortmund achieved 9 clean sheets, while Frankfurt managed 1 away clean sheet

影响因素

Borussia Dortmund holds a noticeable home advantage, averaging 2.06 goals scored and 0.78 goals conceded in home matches. At Signal Iduna Park, an average of 3.4 goals are scored per game. In 40% of matches, both teams scored, and 60% ended with over 2.5 goals

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