Champions League
FC Bayern München - Paris Saint Germain
05/06/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
2.0
3.5
1.5
1:1
10%2:1
9%1:2
7%2:2
7%3:1
6%xG 分解
FC Bayern München
Paris Saint Germain
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
46%
平局
24%
客胜
29%
进球数
Over 1.5
88%
Under 1.5
12%
Over 2.5
68%
Under 2.5
32%
Over 3.5
46%
Under 3.5
54%
双重机会
主胜或平局
71%
客胜或平局
54%
非平局
76%
双方进球
是
69%
否
31%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 46% for Bayern
- The model expects many goals with an average of 1.95 for Bayern and 1.54 for Paris, with a 69% probability for both teams to score
- Both teams are possession-dominant and offensively strong, with an average of 7.6 shots on target for Bayern and 6.8 for Paris in their last 5 games
概述
FC Bayern München host Paris Saint Germain at the Allianz Arena
Champions League match on May 6, 2026, 8:00 PM
Bayern are in 2nd place in the league table with 21 points, Paris in 11th place with 14 points
Both teams are fighting for progress in this high-profile competition
近期状态
FC Bayern München's form in their last 5 games is WWWLD
This accounts for 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
Their last match ended in a draw
Paris Saint Germain shows a perfect form of WWWWW in their last 5 games
This includes 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses
The explanation of form codes is: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
FC Bayern München score an average of 3.63 goals per game and concede 1.09 goals per game this season
At home, Bayern are offensively strong with an average of 3.71 goals scored and 1.06 goals conceded per game
Paris Saint Germain score an average of 2.26 goals and concede 0.87 goals per game
Away from home, Paris's goal average is 2.31 goals scored and 1.15 goals conceded per game
An average of 5.6 goals are scored per game at the Allianz Arena
Both teams scored in 80% of the games, and 100% of matches ended with over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
In 3 head-to-head matches, FC Bayern München led the record with 2 wins
Paris Saint Germain won 1 match, and there were no draws
The goal difference is 7:6 in favor of Bayern
The last encounter on April 28, 2026, ended with a 5-4 victory for Paris Saint Germain
关键球员
For FC Bayern München, Harry Kane (13 goals, 2 assists, avg rating 7.93), Michael Olise (5 goals, 6 assists, avg rating 7.78), and Luis Díaz (7 goals, 3 assists, avg rating 7.51) are key players
Michael Olise shows a declining form trend, while Harry Kane and Luis Díaz also have a declining form trend
For Paris Saint Germain, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (10 goals, 5 assists, avg rating 7.70), Ousmane Dembélé (6 goals, 2 assists, avg rating 7.22), and Désiré Doué (5 goals, 4 assists, avg rating 7.59) are crucial
Ousmane Dembélé has a rising form trend with 6 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games
Not selected for Bayern: Nicolas Jackson (3G/3A)
Not selected for Paris: Achraf Hakimi (1G/8A)
门将
Manuel Neuer, goalkeeper for FC Bayern München, had an average rating of 6.82 in 10 season appearances
Bayern recorded a total of 11 clean sheets
Matvey Safonov, goalkeeper for Paris Saint Germain, achieved an average rating of 6.98 in 9 season appearances
Paris kept 16 clean sheets this season
影响因素
The Allianz Arena favors high-scoring games with an average of 5.6 goals per match
In 80% of FC Bayern's home games, both teams scored, and 100% ended with over 2.5 goals
FC Bayern München shows a strong offense at home with an average of 3.71 goals per game
Their home defense concedes an average of 1.06 goals per game