Champions League
Atlético Madrid - Arsenal
04/29/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.4
3.0
1.6
1:1
13%1:2
9%2:1
8%0:2
6%2:2
6%xG 分解
Atlético Madrid
Arsenal
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
32%
平局
27%
客胜
41%
进球数
Over 1.5
82%
Under 1.5
18%
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
35%
Under 3.5
65%
双重机会
主胜或平局
59%
客胜或平局
68%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
62%
否
38%
关键因素
- Pipeline prediction: The mathematical analysis gives Arsenal a higher win probability of 41%
- Dominant league position: Arsenal leads the table with 24 points, while Atlético Madrid is in 14th place with 13 points
- Arsenal's defensive strength: Arsenal has conceded an average of only 0.76 goals per game this season, compared to Atlético Madrid's 1.12
风险因素
- Atlético Madrid's recent goal production is 1.8 goals per game, compared to their season average of 2.0
- Arsenal averaged 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Arsenal's recent goal production is 1.0 goals per game, compared to their season average of 2.2
概述
Atlético Madrid (14th place, 13 points) host Arsenal (1st place, 24 points) at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Champions League match on April 29, 2026, 9:00 PM
Arsenal enters this duel as the clear league leader
近期状态
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
The home team Atlético Madrid shows a form of LLDLW
In their last 5 games, they recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
The last result was a win
Arsenal comes into this match with the form WLDLW
They have achieved 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 games
The last result was a win
统计数据
Atlético Madrid scores an average of 1.70 goals per game and concedes 1.12 goals per game this season
Arsenal is offensively stronger with an average of 1.88 goals and defensively more solid with 0.76 goals conceded per game
Atlético Madrid kept 12 clean sheets, Arsenal kept 16 clean sheets
At the Riyadh Air Metropolitano, an average of 2.8 goals are scored per game
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games at the stadium, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 games
Atlético Madrid scores an average of 1.73 goals at home and concedes 0.73 goals
Arsenal scores an average of 1.93 goals away and concedes 1.07 goals
历史交锋
There has been 1 head-to-head match between the two teams
Arsenal won 1 game, Atlético Madrid 0 games, and there were 0 draws
The goal difference is 0:4 in favor of Arsenal
The last encounter on October 21, 2025, ended with a 4:0 victory for Arsenal
关键球员
For Atlético Madrid, the key players are:
Julián Alvarez (Attacker): 9 season goals, 4 assists, Avg. 7.69 rating
Marcos Llorente (Defender): 4 season goals, 1 assist, Avg. 7.03 rating
Antoine Griezmann (Attacker): 2 season goals, 3 assists, Avg. 7.01 rating
For Arsenal, the key players are:
Gabriel Martinelli (Attacker): 6 season goals, 2 assists, Avg. 7.24 rating
Declan Rice (Midfielder): 1 season goal, 2 assists, Avg. 7.34 rating
Noni Madueke (Attacker): 3 season goals, 0 assists, Avg. 7.36 rating
门将
Atlético Madrid's goalkeeper Jan Oblak has an average season rating of 6.74 and 12 clean sheets
Arsenal's goalkeeper David Raya has an average season rating of 7.16 and 16 clean sheets
影响因素
The Riyadh Air Metropolitano is a stadium where an average of 2.8 goals are scored per game
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games at the stadium, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 games
Atlético Madrid is strong at home with an average of 1.73 goals scored and 0.73 goals conceded per game
Arsenal shows a solid away performance with an average of 1.93 goals scored and 1.07 goals conceded per game
The playing surface is grass