Europa League
Nottingham Forest - Aston Villa
04/30/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.3
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
11%1:0
10%0:1
9%2:1
8%xG 分解
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
36%
平局
31%
客胜
32%
进球数
Over 1.5
70%
Under 1.5
31%
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
21%
Under 3.5
79%
双重机会
主胜或平局
68%
客胜或平局
64%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
49%
否
51%
关键因素
- Nottingham Forest can only field 44% of their seasonal goal production
- Aston Villa can only field 51% of their seasonal goal production
- Nottingham Forest is unbeaten in their last 5 matches (DDWWW), with the pipeline predicting a 36% win probability
风险因素
- Aston Villa historically dominated with 3 wins in 5 head-to-head matches
- Nottingham Forest is currently scoring more frequently (2.4) than their recent xG value (1.13) suggests
概述
Nottingham Forest (13th place, 14 points) host Aston Villa (2nd place, 21 points) at The City Ground
Europa League match on April 30, 2026, 8:00 PM
Aston Villa are contending for the top of the table, while Nottingham Forest are looking to climb
近期状态
Nottingham Forest show strong form with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches (DDWWW)
Aston Villa recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 games (WDWWL)
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Nottingham Forest average 1.21 goals scored and 1.32 goals conceded per game
At home, they average 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded
Aston Villa average 1.38 goals scored and 1.24 goals conceded
Away from home, they score 1.43 goals and concede 1.71 goals
At The City Ground, an average of 1.8 goals per game were scored in the last 5 matches, with both teams scoring in 2 of 5 games
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches so far, Nottingham Forest secured 1 win, Aston Villa 3 wins, and there was 1 draw
The goal difference is 7:11 in favor of Aston Villa
The last encounter on April 12, 2026, ended in a 1:1 draw
关键球员
For Nottingham Forest, Morgan Gibbs-White is a key player with 5 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games, as is Igor Jesus with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 matches
Neco Williams, a defender, contributed 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games
For Aston Villa, Ollie Watkins stands out with 5 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games
Morgan Rogers recorded 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 appearances, while John McGinn provided 2 assists
门将
Nottingham Forest goalkeeper Stefan Ortega has not scored in 5 season appearances
Aston Villa goalkeeper Emiliano Martínez has also not scored in 8 season appearances
Nottingham Forest have achieved a total of 9 clean sheets this season, and Aston Villa also 9 clean sheets
影响因素
An average of 1.8 goals per game are scored at The City Ground
In 2 of 5 matches, both teams scored, and only in 1 of 5 matches were there more than 2.5 goals
Nottingham Forest average 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded at home
Aston Villa average 1.43 goals scored and 1.71 goals conceded away from home