Europa League
Sporting Braga - SC Freiburg
04/30/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.5
1.0
1:1
14%1:0
11%0:0
10%2:0
9%2:1
9%xG 分解
Sporting Braga
SC Freiburg
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
47%
平局
29%
客胜
24%
进球数
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
双重机会
主胜或平局
76%
客胜或平局
53%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
50%
否
50%
关键因素
- Braga's Home Strength: Braga averages 1.94 goals scored at home and concedes only 0.94 goals
- Mathematical Prediction: The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with a 47% probability
- Freiburg's Offense: Freiburg averaged 4.8 shots on target in their last 5 games, compared to Braga's 3.0
风险因素
- Away Defensive Weakness: SC Freiburg concedes an average of 2.91 goals per away game
- Injuries: Sporting Braga has six players sidelined, including L. Barišić (Groin Injury) and S. Niakate (Achilles tendon rupture)
概述
Sporting Braga (6th place, 17 points) host SC Freiburg (7th place, 17 points) at the Estádio Municipal de Braga. This Europa League match takes place on April 30, 2026, 9:00 PM. Both teams are level on points in the Europa League standings, indicating a balanced encounter.
近期状态
Sporting Braga's form in the last five games is WWDWL
This translates to 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
Their last game resulted in a loss
SC Freiburg's form in the last five games is WWWWL
This indicates 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss
Freiburg also recorded a loss in their last match
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Sporting Braga scores an average of 1.90 goals per game and concedes 1.00 goals
At home, Braga averages 1.94 goals scored and 0.94 goals conceded
The team has recorded 12 clean sheets this season
Both teams scored in 16 matches, and 21 matches ended with over 2.5 goals
SC Freiburg scores an average of 1.42 goals per game and concedes 1.68 goals
Away from home, Freiburg averages 1.45 goals scored and 2.91 goals conceded
The team has recorded 6 clean sheets this season
Both teams scored in 18 matches, and 20 matches ended with over 2.5 goals
The Estádio Municipal de Braga has seen an average of 2.8 total goals in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 60% of games at this stadium, and 60% ended with over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
There are no previous head-to-head meetings between Sporting Braga and SC Freiburg available in the dataset
关键球员
For Sporting Braga, key players are Ricardo Horta (4 goals, 4 assists, Avg. 7.09 Rating), Rodrigo Zalazar (6 goals, 2 assists, Avg. 7.14 Rating), and Pau Víctor (4 goals, 1 assist, Avg. 6.93 Rating)
Ricardo Horta scored 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games with a 'stable' form trend
Rodrigo Zalazar scored 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games with a 'stable' form trend
Pau Víctor scored 3 goals and 0 assists in the last 5 games with a 'stable' form trend
For SC Freiburg, significant players include Vincenzo Grifo (4 goals, 3 assists, Avg. 7.11 Rating), Yuito Suzuki (4 goals, 2 assists, Avg. 7.25 Rating), and Matthias Ginter (2 goals, 2 assists, Avg. 7.17 Rating)
Vincenzo Grifo scored 1 goal and 3 assists in the last 5 games with a 'stable' form trend
Yuito Suzuki scored 2 goals and 0 assists in the last 5 games with a 'declining' form trend
Matthias Ginter scored 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games with a 'stable' form trend
门将
Sporting Braga's goalkeeper, Lukas Hornicek, played 17 times with an average rating of 6.84
The team achieved 12 clean sheets this season
SC Freiburg's goalkeeper, Noah Atubolu, played 12 times with an average rating of 6.87
The team achieved 6 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Sporting Braga shows strong home performance, averaging 1.94 goals scored and only 0.94 goals conceded per home game
SC Freiburg has a weaker defense away from home, conceding an average of 2.91 goals per away game
The Estádio Municipal de Braga has recorded an average of 2.8 total goals per match in the last 5 games