Europa League
SC Freiburg - Sporting Braga
05/07/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.6
1.2
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
5%xG 分解
SC Freiburg
Sporting Braga
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
42%
平局
29%
客胜
28%
进球数
Over 1.5
75%
Under 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
双重机会
主胜或平局
72%
客胜或平局
58%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
54%
否
46%
关键因素
- Pipeline Prediction: SC Freiburg is slightly favored with a 42% win probability and predicted 1.46 goals compared to Sporting Braga's 1.15 goals
- Head-to-Head: Sporting Braga recently won the only head-to-head encounter 2-1 away
- Form Trend: According to Advanced Stats, both teams show a negative form trend regarding goal production
风险因素
- Sporting Braga's average shots on target in the last 5 games is 3.4
- SC Freiburg's goal production is stagnant (currently 1.4 goals compared to the season average of 1.6 goals)
- Sporting Braga's goal production is stagnant (currently 1.4 goals compared to the season average of 2.0 goals)
概述
SC Freiburg host Sporting Braga at Europa-Park Stadion for a Europa League match on May 7, 2026, 9:00 PM
Both teams are level on points in the standings: Sporting Braga are in 6th place with 17 points, SC Freiburg are in 7th place, also with 17 points
The mathematical analysis sees SC Freiburg as slight favorites with a 42% probability of winning
近期状态
SC Freiburg's current form across all competitions is WWLLD (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)
SC Freiburg recently drew 1-1 against VfL Wolfsburg
Before that, they suffered a 1-2 loss against Sporting Braga and a clear 0-4 loss against Borussia Dortmund
Sporting Braga's form across all competitions is DWLWD (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss)
Sporting Braga recently drew 1-1 against Estoril
Previously, they won 2-1 against SC Freiburg and lost 1-2 against Santa Clara
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
SC Freiburg scored an average of 1.41 goals per game this season and conceded 1.66 goals
In home games, Freiburg scored 1.38 goals per game and conceded 1.0 goals
Sporting Braga is stronger offensively with an average of 1.88 goals per game and a better defense with 1.0 goals conceded per game
Away from home, Braga scored 1.87 goals per game and conceded 1.07 goals
At Europa-Park Stadion, an average of 3.8 goals were scored in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 matches
历史交锋
There has only been 1 head-to-head match between the two teams so far
This single encounter took place on April 30, 2026, with Sporting Braga winning 2-1 away
Sporting Braga is the recently dominant team in head-to-head matches
关键球员
For SC Freiburg, Vincenzo Grifo, Matthias Ginter, and Igor Matanovic are key players
Vincenzo Grifo has scored 5 goals and provided 3 assists this season, with an average rating of 7.11
Matthias Ginter contributed 2 goals and 2 assists, his average rating is 7.12
Igor Matanovic has 3 goals and 1 assist with a rating of 6.94
For Sporting Braga, Rodrigo Zalazar, Pau Víctor, and Mario Dorgeles stand out
Rodrigo Zalazar scored 6 goals and 2 assists, with an average rating of 7.06
Pau Víctor has 4 goals and 1 assist this season, his rating is 6.94
Mario Dorgeles was involved in 2 goals and 1 assist and has a rating of 6.84
门将
SC Freiburg's goalkeeper, Noah Atubolu, has achieved 6 clean sheets this season
Lukas Hornicek of Sporting Braga has kept 12 clean sheets this season
影响因素
The home advantage at Europa-Park Stadion is shown by the history of 3.8 goals per game
Both teams scored in 80% of the matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 80% of the matches