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Europa Conference League

Rayo Vallecano - Strasbourg

04/30/2026, 07:00 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Rayo Vallecano
1.7
Total xG
3.0
Strasbourg
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

9%

2:0

7%

1:2

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
RVSTR

Rayo Vallecano

防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
-0.40
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.23倍)
+0.12
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
-0.06
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.03
Álvaro García未进大名单 (6球, 4助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均2.1球 vs 总体1.5球)

Strasbourg

小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.13
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.10
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.31倍)
+0.01
Sebastian Nanasi替补席 (2球, 3助攻)
Guela Doué未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.3球 vs 总体1.9球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

46%

平局

27%

客胜

27%

进球数

Over 1.5

81%

Under 1.5

19%

Over 2.5

58%

Under 2.5

42%

Over 3.5

35%

Under 3.5

65%

双重机会

主胜或平局

73%

客胜或平局

54%

非平局

73%

双方进球

61%

39%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a 46% win probability for Rayo Vallecano
  • Strasbourg shows a positive form trend, currently scoring more frequently (2.2 goals) than their season average (1.9)
  • Rayo Vallecano scores consistently at home (averaging 1.6 goals per game) and aims for group victory
风险因素
  • Rayo Vallecano has only 4 days of rest since their last match
  • Limited data available for head-to-head matches
  • At Estadio de Vallecas, both teams did not score in 80% of the last 5 matches
概述

Rayo Vallecano (5th place, 13 points) host Strasbourg (1st place, 16 points) at Estadio de Vallecas in the Europa Conference League on April 30, 2026, 9:00 PM

Strasbourg leads the table, while Rayo Vallecano is in a qualifying spot

Both teams are fighting for progression in the knockout phase

近期状态

Rayo Vallecano's form in the last five games (all competitions) is WLLWD

This corresponds to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Rayo Vallecano last drew 3-3 against Real Sociedad

Strasbourg's form in the last five games (all competitions) is DWWLW

This corresponds to 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

Strasbourg last won 4-0 against FSV Mainz 05

统计数据

Rayo Vallecano scores an average of 1.00 goals per game and concedes 1.24 goals per game this season

At home, Rayo Vallecano scores an average of 1.00 goals and concedes 0.67 goals

Strasbourg scores an average of 1.63 goals per game and concedes 1.30 goals per game this season

Away from home, Strasbourg scores an average of 1.67 goals and concedes 1.73 goals

Rayo Vallecano kept 10 clean sheets this season, Strasbourg 9 clean sheets

Both teams scored in 14 of Rayo Vallecano's games and 18 of Strasbourg's games

Rayo Vallecano had over 2.5 goals in 13 games, Strasbourg in 19 games

At Estadio de Vallecas, the last 5 matches averaged 2.4 total goals per game

In Rayo Vallecano's last 5 home games, both teams scored in 1 out of 5 matches

In Rayo Vallecano's last 5 home games, over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 out of 5 matches

历史交锋

No head-to-head matches between Rayo Vallecano and Strasbourg have been found in history

关键球员

For Rayo Vallecano, Isi Palazón is an important attacker with 3 goals and 3 assists this season

Unai López in midfield has contributed 2 goals and 1 assist

Forward Alexandre Zurawski scored 2 goals this season and netted 1 goal in his last 5 games

For Strasbourg, Julio Enciso in midfield is a key player with 3 goals and 4 assists

Attacker Martial Godo contributed 4 goals and 3 assists and shows a rising form trend

Emmanuel Emegha in attack scored 4 goals this season, including 2 in his last 5 games

门将

Augusto Batalla of Rayo Vallecano recorded 7 clean sheets in home games

Mike Penders of Strasbourg achieved 2 clean sheets in away games

影响因素

Estadio de Vallecas has seen an average of 2.4 total goals per game in the last 5 matches

Only in 20% of the last 5 games at Estadio de Vallecas did both teams score

In 40% of the last 5 games at Estadio de Vallecas, over 2.5 goals were scored

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