Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart - Bayer 04 Leverkusen
05/09/2026, 01:30 PM
预期进球
1.8
2.9
1.1
1:1
12%2:1
10%2:0
9%1:2
6%3:1
6%xG 分解
VfB Stuttgart
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
51%
平局
26%
客胜
23%
进球数
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
Over 3.5
33%
Under 3.5
67%
双重机会
主胜或平局
77%
客胜或平局
49%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
58%
否
42%
关键因素
- Pipeline Advantage: The mathematical analysis predicts 1.77 expected goals for VfB Stuttgart compared to 1.13 for Leverkusen, with a home win probability of 51%
- Stuttgart's Home Offense: VfB Stuttgart scores an average of 2.08 goals per game at home
- Leverkusen's Form Trend: Bayer 04 Leverkusen shows very good form with 4 wins and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
风险因素
- Leverkusen's Away Defensive Vulnerability: Bayer 04 Leverkusen concedes an average of 1.79 goals per away game
- Stuttgart's Mixed Recent Form: VfB Stuttgart has achieved only one win across all competitions in their last five matches (1W, 2D, 2L)
概述
VfB Stuttgart (5th place, 58 points) hosts Bayer 04 Leverkusen (4th place, 58 points) at the MHPArena
Bundesliga match on May 9, 2026, 3:30 PM
Both teams are level on points and are fighting for positions in the top third of the table
近期状态
VfB Stuttgart's recent form is LWLDD (1 Win, 2 Draws, 2 Losses) from their last 5 matches
In these games, Stuttgart scored 10 goals and conceded 10 goals
Bayer 04 Leverkusen's form is WWLWW (4 Wins, 0 Draws, 1 Loss) in their last 5 matches
Leverkusen scored 14 goals and conceded 7 goals in these encounters
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
VfB Stuttgart averages 2.06 goals scored per game and 1.44 goals conceded per game this season
At home, Stuttgart scores an average of 2.08 goals and concedes 1.15 goals per home game
They kept 11 clean sheets in total, 8 of which were at home
Bayer 04 Leverkusen averages 2.06 goals scored and 1.34 goals conceded per game this season
Away from home, Leverkusen scores an average of 2.07 goals and concedes 1.79 goals per away game
They recorded 8 clean sheets this season, with 2 of them away
The MHPArena has seen an average of 2.4 goals per game in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 2 of 5 games, and 2 of 5 games had over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
There have been 5 head-to-head matches between these teams
VfB Stuttgart won 1 of these encounters and drew 2 times
Bayer 04 Leverkusen secured 2 victories
Stuttgart scored 11 goals in these matches, Leverkusen 10 goals
The last encounter on January 10, 2026, ended in a 1:4 victory for Stuttgart, with Leverkusen being the home team
关键球员
Deniz Undav is a key attacking player for Stuttgart with 18 goals and 6 assists this season and an average rating of 7.33, his form is declining
Chris Führich recorded 7 goals and 6 assists with an average rating of 7.11, his form is rising
Ermedin Demirovic contributed 11 goals and 3 assists with an average rating of 7.05, his form is stable
Not nominated: Bilal El Khannouss (4 Goals/5 Assists)
Patrik Schick leads Leverkusen's attack with 16 goals and 3 assists this season and an average rating of 7.1, his form is rising
Alejandro Grimaldo is also in rising form with 8 goals and 8 assists and an average rating of 7.51
Aleix García showed rising form with 2 goals and 7 assists and an average rating of 7.41
Not nominated: Nathan Tella (1 Goal/4 Assists)
门将
Alexander Nübel made 32 appearances for VfB Stuttgart and kept 11 clean sheets
Mark Flekken played 22 times for Bayer 04 Leverkusen and achieved 8 clean sheets
影响因素
VfB Stuttgart shows home strength with an average of 2.08 home goals scored and 1.15 home goals conceded per game
The MHPArena has seen an average of 2.4 goals per game in the last 5 matches
At the venue, both teams scored in 40% of the games
Also, over 2.5 goals were scored in 40% of the games