Friendly International

Croatia - Belgium

06/02/2026, 04:00 PM

0 : 2
预期进球
Croatia
1.7
Total xG
2.8
Belgium
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

10%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
CROBEL

Croatia

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-0.09
33%进球产出缺失 (仅40%可用)

Belgium

小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.07
33%进球产出缺失 (仅88%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.35
+0.35
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

48%

平局

27%

客胜

25%

进球数

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

54%

Under 2.5

46%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

双重机会

主胜或平局

75%

客胜或平局

52%

非平局

73%

双方进球

57%

43%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis forecasts a home win for Croatia with a 48% probability
  • Belgium's Offensive Power: Belgium averages 3.0 goals per game and recorded 5.5 shots on target in recent matches
  • Head-to-Head History: Belgium was dominant in the last 3 direct encounters with 1 win and 2 draws
风险因素
  • Croatia's Squad Strength: Only 40% of the usual starting eleven strength is available according to the analysis
  • Belgium's Injuries: Z. Debast (Leg Injury) and L. Trossard (Unknown Injury) are sidelined
  • Croatia's Defense: Croatia conceded an average of 2.0 goals per game this season
概述

Croatia host Belgium in a Friendly International match at Stadion HNK Rijeka on June 2, 2026, 5:00 PM

The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Croatia with 48% probability

A draw is calculated at 27% and an away win for Belgium at 25%

近期状态

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Croatia has a form of WL in their last two matches

This equates to 1 win and 1 loss

The last match resulted in a loss (1-3 against Brazil)

Belgium showed a form of WD in their last two matches

This equates to 1 win and 1 draw

The last match resulted in a draw (1-1 against Mexico)

统计数据

Croatia averaged 1.5 goals scored per game and conceded 2.0 goals per game this season

Belgium averaged 3.0 goals scored per game and conceded 1.5 goals per game

At Stadion HNK Rijeka, an average of 2.2 goals per game were scored

Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 matches

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 matches

历史交锋

In 3 head-to-head matches, there were 0 wins for Croatia, 1 win for Belgium, and 2 draws

The goal difference is 2:3 in favor of Belgium

The last encounter on December 1, 2022, ended in a 0-0 draw

Belgium was recently dominant in direct duels

关键球员

For Croatia, Ivan Perišić stands out with 2 goals and 3 assists in the last 5 games, and Petar Musa with 3 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games

Petar Sučić contributed 1 goal in the last 5 games

For Belgium, Kevin De Bruyne  is important with 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 games, and Maxim De Cuyper with 3 assists in the last 5 games

Youri Tielemans scored 1 goal in the last 5 games

门将

Croatia's goalkeeper Dominik Livakovic has 0 clean sheets this season

Belgium's goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois has 0 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match will take place on a grass surface at Stadion HNK Rijeka

An average of 2.2 goals per game were scored at the stadium

The home team Croatia has not played any home games this season

Belgium averaged 3.0 away goals scored and 1.5 away goals conceded this season

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