Friendly International

France - Côte d'Ivoire

06/04/2026, 07:10 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
France
1.8
Total xG
3.3
Côte d'Ivoire
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:1

9%

1:2

7%

2:2

7%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
FRACD

France

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+1.17
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第44位, 相差42位)
+0.13
20%进球产出缺失 (仅88%可用)

Côte d'Ivoire

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.49倍)
+0.52
排名劣势 (第44位 vs 第2位, 相差42位)
-0.27
小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
+0.19
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
-0.14
状态上升 (2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
+0.13
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.05
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.33
+0.33
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

44%

平局

25%

客胜

31%

进球数

Over 1.5

86%

Under 1.5

14%

Over 2.5

64%

Under 2.5

36%

Over 3.5

42%

Under 3.5

58%

双重机会

主胜或平局

69%

客胜或平局

56%

非平局

75%

双方进球

66%

34%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: France is the favorite to win with a 44% probability
  • Offensive Strength: France maintains a consistent scoring rate, averaging 2.5 goals per game this season
  • Defensive Strength: Côte d'Ivoire kept a clean sheet in both games this season and conceded 0.0 goals per game
风险因素
  • For Côte d'Ivoire, only 67% of the usual starting eleven strength is available
  • France has not kept a clean sheet in any game this season
  • Côte d'Ivoire averaged 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
概述

France will host Côte d'Ivoire in a Friendly International match at Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau

The game is scheduled for June 4, 2026, 9:10 PM

The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with a 44% probability

A draw is rated at 25%, while an away win has a 31% chance

近期状态

France shows a perfect 'WW' form in their last two matches

The team won both games, most recently a 3-1 away victory against Colombia

Côte d'Ivoire's form across all competitions is 'DLWWW'

Over their last five games, the team recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, including 3 consecutive wins recently

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

France has scored an average of 2.5 goals per game this season and conceded 1.0 goal per game

Both of their two matches saw over 2.5 goals and both teams scored

Côte d'Ivoire also scored an average of 2.5 goals per game this season but conceded 0.0 goals per game

The team kept a clean sheet in both of their two matches and neither game saw both teams scoring

At Stade de la Beaujoire, the last five matches have seen an average of 2.6 total goals per game

Both teams scored in 40% of the matches, and 40% ended with over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

No head-to-head data is available

关键球员

For France, Marcus Thuram is a key player with 1 season goal and 1 assist

In his last 5 games, he scored 3 goals and 1 assist with an average rating of 7.26

Michael Olise, another attacker, has 1 season assist and 2 goals plus 1 assist in his last 5 games with a rating of 7.43

Kylian Mbappé contributed 1 goal this season and scored 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games with a rating of 7.25

For Côte d'Ivoire, Simon Adingra is noteworthy with 1 season goal and 1 goal in his last 5 games, holding a rating of 6.61

Wilfried Singo, a defender, has 1 season goal and 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 games with a rating of 6.99

Elye Wahi, an attacker, scored 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 games with a rating of 6.99

门将

France's goalkeeper, Mike Maignan, has a season average rating of 6.73 and a 7.08 rating in his last 5 games

Côte d'Ivoire's goalkeeper, Yahia Fofana, has a season rating of 7.26 and a 6.66 rating in his last 5 games

Côte d'Ivoire has 2 clean sheets this season, while France has 0 clean sheets

影响因素

France has not played any home games this season

Côte d'Ivoire scored an average of 2.0 goals per game in their 2 away matches and conceded 0.0 goals per game, with one clean sheet

The stadium, Stade de la Beaujoire, has an average of 2.6 goals per game

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