Friendly International

Canada - Uzbekistan

06/02/2026, 01:00 AM

2 : 0
预期进球
Canada
1.6
Total xG
2.9
Uzbekistan
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
CANUZB

Canada

小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.62
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.21
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
排名优势 (第26位 vs 第54位, 相差28位)
+0.11
全员可用

Uzbekistan

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.78倍)
+0.63
排名劣势 (第54位 vs 第26位, 相差28位)
-0.23
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-0.15
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.14
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
-0.05
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.35
+0.35
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

42%

平局

28%

客胜

31%

进球数

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

56%

Under 2.5

44%

Over 3.5

33%

Under 3.5

67%

双重机会

主胜或平局

69%

客胜或平局

58%

非平局

72%

双方进球

60%

40%

关键因素
  • Critical absence: Uzbekistan has only 33% of their active goal production available
  • Canada's form: The home team is unbeaten in their last 5 games, supporting the 42% home win prediction
  • BMO Field as a goal factory: The stadium has a high goal-scoring rate (averaging 4.6 goals per game), with a 100% 'Both teams to score' rate
风险因素
  • Limited data on head-to-head encounters, as no historical meetings were found
  • Canada's goal production is stagnant at 1.5 goals, while the season average is 1.8, indicating a negative form trend
  • Uzbekistan is counter-oriented and averaged 4.2 shots on target in their last 5 games
概述

Canada hosts Uzbekistan at BMO Field in a Friendly International on June 2, 2026, 2:00 AM. Canada aims to demonstrate its home strength. For both teams, this is an opportunity to test tactics and evaluate players.

近期状态

Canada is unbeaten in their last five matches, with 2 wins and 3 draws. Recent results include a 0-0 draw against Tunisia and a 2-2 draw against Iceland. Uzbekistan's form consists of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five games. They recently drew 0-0 with Venezuela and secured a 3-1 victory over Gabon. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Canada has scored an average of 1.0 goals per game this season and conceded an average of 0.67 goals. Uzbekistan has scored an average of 1.5 goals per game and conceded an average of 0.5 goals. BMO Field has seen an average of 4.6 total goals per game in the last five matches. All five of these matches saw both teams score. More than 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 games.

关键球员

For Canada, Jonathan David stands out, scoring 2 goals in two season appearances with an average rating of 7.36. Richie Laryea showed rising form in his last five games with 2 goals, and Liam Millar achieved a season average rating of 7.46. On Uzbekistan's side, Eldor Shomurodov scored 1 goal in one season appearance. Oston Urunov contributed 2 goals in his last four games, and Otabek Shukurov provided 1 assist in his last five matches.

门将

Canada's goalkeeper Maxime Crêpeau has achieved an average rating of 6.68 in 1 season appearance. Uzbekistan's goalkeeper Abduvokhid Nematov reached an average rating of 6.50 in 1 season appearance. Canada has kept two clean sheets this season, while Uzbekistan has one.

影响因素

The match will be played on a grass surface at BMO Field. The venue's statistics indicate a tendency for high-scoring games, with an average of 4.6 total goals per match. Both teams scored in 5 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 games.

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