Friendly International

Côte d'Ivoire - Scotland

03/31/2026, 06:30 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Côte d'Ivoire
2.3
Total xG
3.4
Scotland
1.0
最可能的比分

2:1

10%

1:1

9%

2:0

9%

3:1

8%

3:0

7%
xG 分解
CDSCO

Côte d'Ivoire

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+1.29
防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.85
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.12
100%进球产出缺失 (仅0%可用)

Scotland

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.79倍)
-0.97
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.62
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.41
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.66
+0.66
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

65%

平局

21%

客胜

14%

进球数

Over 1.5

86%

Under 1.5

14%

Over 2.5

65%

Under 2.5

35%

Over 3.5

43%

Under 3.5

57%

双重机会

主胜或平局

86%

客胜或平局

35%

非平局

79%

双方进球

59%

41%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: The model forecasts a home win with 65% probability
  • Ivory Coast's offensive strength: They won their last game 4-0 and recently averaged 1.5 goals
  • Scottish defensive vulnerability: Scotland lost 2 of their last 3 games and recently conceded an average of 1.33 goals
风险因素
  • Ivory Coast squad strength: Only 0% of the usual starting XI goal threat is available
  • Tight schedule: Both teams had only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Limited data availability: Seasonal statistics for Scotland are not fully available
概述

Ivory Coast host Scotland in a Friendly International match at Hill Dickinson Stadium

The match takes place on March 31, 2026, 7:30 PM

The mathematical model predicts a clear advantage for the home team with a 65% win probability

近期状态

Ivory Coast's current form is LDLWW

This corresponds to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 games

They recently achieved two consecutive wins

Scotland's form is LWL

This means 1 win and 2 losses in their last 3 matches

Their last game ended in a defeat

统计数据

Ivory Coast has scored an average of 4.0 goals and conceded 0.0 goals in one game this season

They managed to keep one clean sheet

At the Hill Dickinson Stadium, an average of 2.2 goals per game are scored

Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games (40%)

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 out of 5 games (40%)

关键球员

For Ivory Coast, Ousmane Diomande (Defender) is relevant

He played in 4 of the last 5 games, totaling 201 minutes, with 0 goals and 0 assists, and an average rating of 6.58

His form is stable

For Scotland, Andrew Robertson (Defender) is a key player

He played in 4 of the last 5 games, totaling 205 minutes, with 0 goals and 0 assists, and an average rating of 6.50

门将

Alban Lafont is the probable goalkeeper for Ivory Coast

His team has kept one clean sheet this season

Liam Kelly is the probable goalkeeper for Scotland

影响因素

Ivory Coast averaged 54% possession and 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 games

Scotland was dominant with 60% possession and averaged 4.7 shots on target in their last 3 games

Hill Dickinson Stadium has a history of 2.2 goals per game, with a 40% rate for 'Both Teams To Score' and 'Over 2.5 Goals'

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