Friendly International

Brazil - Croatia

04/01/2026, 12:00 AM

3 : 1
预期进球
Brazil
1.5
Total xG
2.9
Croatia
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

6%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
BRACRO

Brazil

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.15
小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
+0.09
100%进球产出缺失 (仅0%可用)

Croatia

小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
-0.23
100%进球产出缺失 (仅0%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.47
+0.47
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

39%

平局

28%

客胜

33%

进球数

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

55%

Under 2.5

45%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

双重机会

主胜或平局

67%

客胜或平局

61%

非平局

72%

双方进球

59%

41%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a very tight match with a home win probability of 39%, a draw probability of 28%, and an away win probability of 33%
  • Brazil showed possession dominance in their last 5 matches with an average of 59% possession and 4.8 shots on target
  • Croatia operated counter-oriented in their last game with 42% possession and an average of 3.0 shots on target
风险因素
  • The data situation regarding the usual starting eleven strength is critical for Brazil, as only 0% of the active goal threat could be determined
  • For Croatia, the data situation regarding the usual starting eleven strength is also critical, as only 0% of the active goal threat could be determined
  • For Brazil, xG values are unavailable in 4 out of 5 recent matches, which limits offensive analysis
概述

Brazil host Croatia in a Friendly International match on April 1, 2026, 1:00 AM

近期状态

Brazil's form across all competitions is WLWDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Brazil recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches

The last match ended in a loss

Croatia's form across all competitions is W

Croatia recorded 1 win in their last 1 matches

The last match ended in a win

统计数据

Brazil scored an average of 1.0 goals per game this season and conceded 2.0 goals

Croatia scored an average of 2.0 goals per away game and conceded 1.0 goals

In Brazil's matches, both teams scored once

In Croatia's matches, both teams scored once

Over 2.5 goals was achieved in Brazil's only game this season

Over 2.5 goals was achieved in Croatia's only game this season

历史交锋

The provided dataset does not contain any historical head-to-head matches between these two teams

关键球员

For Brazil, Marquinhos is a defender who played in 3 of the last 5 matches

Marquinhos scored 1 goal in the last 5 matches

Vinicius Junior is an attacker who was listed in Brazil's recent lineups

Matheus Cunha is an attacker who was listed in Brazil's recent lineups

For Croatia, Dominik Livakovic is a goalkeeper with an average rating of 7.31 this season

Dominik Livakovic played in 3 of Croatia's last 5 matches

Ivan Perišić is an attacker who was listed in Croatia's recent lineups

Andrej Kramaric is a midfielder who was listed in Croatia's recent lineups

门将

Brazil's goalkeeper Bento was listed in the home team's recent lineups

Brazil has achieved 0 clean sheets this season

Croatia's goalkeeper Dominik Livakovic had an average rating of 7.04 in the last 5 matches

Croatia has achieved 0 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Brazil scored an average of 1.0 goals and conceded 2.0 goals in home games

Croatia scored an average of 2.0 goals and conceded 1.0 goals in away games

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