Friendly International

Belgium - Tunisia

06/06/2026, 01:00 PM

5 : 0
预期进球
Belgium
2.2
Total xG
2.9
Tunisia
0.7
最可能的比分

2:0

13%

1:1

10%

3:0

10%

2:1

9%

3:1

7%
xG 分解
BELTUN

Belgium

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+1.10
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.49倍)
-0.88
排名优势 (第8位 vs 第46位, 相差38位)
+0.15

Tunisia

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.61倍)
-0.46
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.22
排名劣势 (第46位 vs 第8位, 相差38位)
-0.13
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.05
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.03
100%进球产出缺失 (仅0%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.36
+0.36
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

70%

平局

21%

客胜

10%

进球数

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

55%

Under 2.5

45%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

双重机会

主胜或平局

90%

客胜或平局

30%

非平局

79%

双方进球

46%

54%

关键因素
  • Pipeline prediction: The mathematical analysis forecasts a home win for Belgium with 70% probability
  • Critical weakening for Tunisia: Only 0% of the usual starting XI's goal threat is available
  • Belgium's offensive strength: Belgium averages 2.67 goals per game, while Tunisia only averages 0.33 goals per game
风险因素
  • Limited data availability for Tunisia's xG values (3/5 values missing)
  • Tunisia averaged only 2.8 shots on target in their last 5 games
概述

Belgium host Tunisia at Stade Roi Baudouin. Friendly International match on June 6, 2026, 3:00 PM. The mathematical analysis identifies Belgium as clear favorites with a high home win probability of 70%.

近期状态

Belgium has shown good form in their last three matches with two wins and one draw (WDW). Their most recent result was a 2-0 away win against Croatia. Tunisia has recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five games (WDWDL). Their last outing was a 0-1 away loss to Austria. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.

统计数据

Belgium has averaged 2.67 goals scored per game and conceded 1.00 goals per game this season. The team achieved 1 clean sheet, and both teams scored in 2 matches. Over 2.5 goals were scored in 1 match. Tunisia has averaged 0.33 goals scored per game and conceded 0.33 goals per game. The team kept 2 clean sheets, and both teams scored in 0 matches. Over 2.5 goals were scored in 0 matches.

历史交锋

There has only been one head-to-head encounter between these two teams. This match took place on June 23, 2018, with Belgium securing a clear 5-2 victory. Belgium has scored a total of 5 goals and conceded 2 goals in this direct clash, showing dominance as the home team.

关键球员

For Belgium, Youri Tielemans (Midfielder) is a key player with 1 season goal and 1 assist, 2 goals in his last 5 games, and rising form. Thomas Meunier (Defender) contributed 1 goal and 2 assists in his last 5 games, also showing rising form. Kevin De Bruyne (Midfielder) has 1 assist in his last 5 games and rising form. For Tunisia, Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud (Midfielder) has 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 games and rising form. Ellyes Skhiri (Midfielder) shows stable form. Hazem Mastouri (Attacker) scored 1 goal in 3 games.

门将

Belgian goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois recorded 1 clean sheet this season. Tunisian goalkeeper Abdelmouhib Chamakh has 2 clean sheets for his team this season.

影响因素

This match will be played on a grass surface. No specific historical venue data or weather information is available to highlight further influences.

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