Friendly International

Austria - Tunisia

06/01/2026, 06:45 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Austria
1.5
Total xG
2.4
Tunisia
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

12%

0:0

10%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
AUSTUN

Austria

小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+1.00
排名优势 (第22位 vs 第46位, 相差24位)
+0.11

Tunisia

排名劣势 (第46位 vs 第22位, 相差24位)
-0.16
状态上升 (1.5 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.08
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.07
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
-0.05
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.01
100%进球产出缺失 (仅0%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.36
+0.36
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

50%

平局

29%

客胜

21%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

56%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

双重机会

主胜或平局

79%

客胜或平局

50%

非平局

71%

双方进球

48%

52%

关键因素
  • Austria's offensive strength with an average of 3.0 home goals and 0.5 goals conceded
  • Tunisia's strong away defense with an average of 0.0 goals conceded and 2 clean sheets
  • Tactical contrast: Austria's possession-based play (58% possession) meets Tunisia's counter-attacking approach (43% possession)
风险因素
  • Tunisia's average of 2.6 shots on target in the last 5 games could limit their offensive penetration
  • Limited data available for expected goals (xG) in Tunisia's last 5 games
概述

Austria host Tunisia at Ernst-Happel-Stadion

Friendly International match on June 1, 2026, 8:45 PM

The mathematical analysis sees Austria as the winner with 50% probability

近期状态

The form of both teams shows different trends

Austria has a current form of WW

This corresponds to 2 wins in a row

Tunisia shows a form of DWDWD

This corresponds to 2 wins and 3 draws

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Austria scored an average of 3.0 goals per home game

They conceded an average of 0.5 goals per home game

Tunisia scored an average of 0.5 goals per away game

They conceded an average of 0.0 goals per away game

Tunisia kept 2 clean sheets in away games

An average of 3.5 goals were scored per game at Ernst-Happel-Stadion

Both teams scored in 1 of 2 matches at this stadium

历史交锋

No Head-to-Head data is available for this match

关键球员

Marcel Sabitzer (Midfielder) recorded 2 goals and 2 assists this season with an average rating of 8.03

Xaver Schlager (Midfielder) had 1 assist with a rating of 7.63, plus 1 goal in the last 5 games

Stefan Posch (Defender) scored 1 goal and achieved a rating of 7.15

Abdelmouhib Chamakh (Goalkeeper) has a season average rating of 8.06

Omar Rekik (Defender) has a season average rating of 7.21

Ellyes Skhiri (Midfielder) achieved a season average rating of 6.81

门将

Alexander Schlager (Austria) has an average season rating of 6.63

His team has kept 1 clean sheet this season

Abdelmouhib Chamakh (Tunisia) has an average season rating of 8.06

His team has kept 2 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Austria shows a home advantage with an average of 3.0 goals scored and 0.5 goals conceded per home game

At Ernst-Happel-Stadion, an average of 3.5 goals per game were scored in 2 matches

Statistics show that both teams scored in 1 of 2 matches

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