Bundesliga
TSG Hoffenheim - Werder Bremen
05/09/2026, 01:30 PM
预期进球
1.9
2.8
0.9
1:1
12%2:0
11%2:1
10%3:0
7%3:1
6%xG 分解
TSG Hoffenheim
Werder Bremen
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
60%
平局
24%
客胜
15%
进球数
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
双重机会
主胜或平局
85%
客胜或平局
40%
非平局
76%
双方进球
是
52%
否
48%
关键因素
- Favorite Role: The mathematical analysis predicts a 60% home win probability for Hoffenheim
- Hoffenheim's Home Strength: TSG Hoffenheim scores an average of 2.0 home goals per game
- Werder Bremen's Defense: The visitors concede an average of 1.78 goals per game
风险因素
- Werder Bremen recently showed a positive trend, averaging 1.4 goals compared to 1.2 in the season average
- TSG Hoffenheim conceded an average of 1.8 goals in recent matches, compared to 1.55 in the season average
- At the PreZero Arena, both teams scored in 4 out of 5 matches, indicating a high probability for goals from both sides
概述
TSG Hoffenheim (6th place, 58 points) host Werder Bremen (15th place, 32 points) at the PreZero Arena. It's a Bundesliga match on May 9, 2026, 3:30 PM. Hoffenheim are fighting for European spots, while Bremen are battling against relegation. The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Hoffenheim with 60%
近期状态
TSG Hoffenheim's form in the last five games (all competitions) is LDWWD
This corresponds to 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
The last match ended in a 3-3 draw against VfB Stuttgart
Werder Bremen's form in the last five games is LLWDL
This consists of 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
They lost their last match 1-3 against FC Augsburg
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
TSG Hoffenheim scores an average of 2.0 goals per game and concedes 1.5 goals per game this season
At home, Hoffenheim averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.24 goals conceded per home game
They kept 6 clean sheets in the season
Werder Bremen averages 1.16 goals scored and 1.78 goals conceded per game this season
Away from home, Bremen averages 1.12 goals scored and 1.75 goals conceded per away game
They also managed 6 clean sheets in the season
The PreZero Arena records an average of 3.0 total goals per game
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 matches, and 3 out of 5 matches had over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
In the last five head-to-head matches, TSG Hoffenheim dominated with 4 wins
Werder Bremen managed only 1 win, with no draws
TSG Hoffenheim scored a total of 13 goals, while Werder Bremen scored 8 goals
The last encounter on January 27, 2026, saw TSG Hoffenheim win away with a 2-0 score
关键球员
For TSG Hoffenheim, Andrej Kramaric (14 goals, 5 assists) and Fisnik Asllani (10 goals, 8 assists) are key offensive players
Bazoumana Touré contributed 4 goals and 9 assists and shows a rising form trend
For Werder Bremen, Jens Stage (10 goals, 2 assists) and Romano Schmid (4 goals, 8 assists) are the top scorers
Both show a rising form trend in recent matches
Yukinari Sugawara is also an important playmaker with 6 assists
门将
Oliver Baumann of TSG Hoffenheim made 32 season appearances and kept 6 clean sheets
Mio Backhaus of Werder Bremen played in 30 season matches and also achieved 6 clean sheets
影响因素
The PreZero Arena is a high-scoring venue, averaging 3.0 goals per game
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 matches at this stadium
3 out of 5 matches ended with over 2.5 goals
TSG Hoffenheim shows a strong home performance with an average of 2.0 goals scored and 1.24 goals conceded per home game on grass