Friendly International

England - New Zealand

06/06/2026, 08:00 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
England
1.6
Total xG
2.6
New Zealand
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

1:2

6%

3:0

5%
xG 分解
ENGNZ

England

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.69倍)
-0.24
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第83位, 相差79位)
+0.11
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
-0.07
100%进球产出缺失 (仅0%可用)

New Zealand

防守不足 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.24
排名劣势 (第83位 vs 第4位, 相差79位)
-0.17
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
+0.01
小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
+0.01
54%进球产出缺失 (仅93%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.37
+0.37
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

50%

平局

28%

客胜

22%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

78%

客胜或平局

50%

非平局

72%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for England with a 50% probability
  • England exhibits a possession-dominant playing style with an average of 62% possession and 4.5 shots on target per game, while New Zealand plays a more counter-oriented style (45% possession, 3.4 shots on target)
  • New Zealand is currently scoring more frequently (1.0) than their season average (0.9)
风险因素
  • For England, according to the squad analysis, only 0% of the usual goal threat is available
  • New Zealand has only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • New Zealand concedes an average of 2.33 goals per game this season
概述

England hosts New Zealand at Raymond James Stadium for an international Friendly International match on June 6, 2026, 9:00 PM. The game serves as preparation for both teams, allowing them to test new tactics and players.

近期状态

England's form in the last four matches is LWDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss), consisting of 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Their last result was a loss. New Zealand recorded LLLWL in their last five matches, meaning 1 win and 4 losses, with their last result also being a loss.

统计数据

England has averaged 0.5 goals scored per game and conceded 1.0 goal per game in 2 matches this season. New Zealand has averaged 1.33 goals scored per game and conceded 2.33 goals per game in 3 matches. For England, 1 game saw both teams score, and 0 games had over 2.5 goals. New Zealand had 1 game with both teams scoring and 2 games with over 2.5 goals.

历史交锋

No previous head-to-head meetings between England and New Zealand were found in the provided data.

关键球员

For England, Harry Kane (5 goals, 1 assist in last 5 games), Ollie Watkins (6 goals, 2 assists in last 5 games), and Morgan Rogers (2 goals, 3 assists in last 5 games, form rising) are key offensive players. For New Zealand, Elijah Just (1 goal in last 4 games), Liberato Cacace (1 goal in 2 games, form rising), and Joe Bell (1 assist in last 4 games) have shown good performances.

门将

England's goalkeeper Jordan Pickford has kept 0 clean sheets this season. Max Crocombe, New Zealand's goalkeeper, also has 0 clean sheets this season.

影响因素

England has scored an average of 0.5 goals and conceded 1.0 goal in home matches.

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