Friendly International

Canada - Republic of Ireland

06/05/2026, 11:30 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Canada
1.4
Total xG
2.6
Republic of Ireland
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

0:2

6%
xG 分解
CANROI

Canada

防守实力 (场均失0.7球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-1.05
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+1.01
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
-0.10
排名优势 (第26位 vs 第61位, 相差35位)
+0.10
16%进球产出缺失 (仅62%可用)

Republic of Ireland

防守实力 (场均失0.6球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
-0.47
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.23
排名劣势 (第61位 vs 第26位, 相差35位)
-0.22
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.85倍)
+0.16
55%进球产出缺失 (仅23%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.37
+0.37
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

38%

平局

30%

客胜

32%

进球数

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

68%

客胜或平局

62%

非平局

70%

双方进球

54%

46%

关键因素
  • Republic of Ireland is expected to operate with only 24% of their usual starting XI's goal threat available
  • Both teams exhibit offensive strength, with Canada averaging 5.2 shots on target in their last 5 games and Republic of Ireland averaging 5.8 shots on target in their last 4 games
  • The mathematical model projects Canada with a 38% win probability, compared to 32% for Republic of Ireland
风险因素
  • Canada will only have 63% of their usual starting XI's goal threat available
  • Canada has only 3 days of rest since their last match
概述

Canada hosts the Republic of Ireland at Stade Saputo in a Friendly International match. The game is scheduled for June 5, 2026, 7:30 PM (EDT). The mathematical analysis suggests a closely contested match, with Canada having a 38% chance of winning. A draw is predicted with 30%, and a victory for the Republic of Ireland with 32%.

近期状态

Canada shows strong form with 'WWDDW', securing 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches. Their last result was a win. The Republic of Ireland also displays solid recent form with 'DDWW', achieving 2 wins and 2 draws in their last 4 matches. They ended with two consecutive wins. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Canada has scored an average of 1.25 goals per game this season and conceded 0.5 goals per game. They kept 3 clean sheets in 4 matches. The Republic of Ireland shows a strong defensive record with an average of 0.0 goals conceded per game and 3 clean sheets in 3 matches, while scoring an average of 2.0 goals per game. For Canada's home games, they scored 1.25 goals and conceded 0.5 goals on average. Stade Saputo has seen an average of 2.8 total goals per game, with both teams scoring in 2 out of 5 matches and over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches.

历史交锋

There are no historical head-to-head records available for these two teams in the provided dataset.

关键球员

For Canada, Jonathan David has 2 goals this season and an average rating of 7.24. Richie Laryea, a defender, scored 1 goal in his last 5 games. Stephen Eustaquio, a midfielder, shows stable form with 5 games played in his last 5 and an average rating of 6.67. For the Republic of Ireland, defender Nathan Collins scored 1 goal in 5 games, maintaining a season average rating of 7.68. Troy Parrott, an attacker, contributed 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 games. Defender Jake O'Brien also scored 1 goal in his last 5 appearances.

门将

Maxime Crépeau is the goalkeeper for Canada, who recorded 3 clean sheets this season. Mark Travers is in goal for the Republic of Ireland, whose team also achieved 3 clean sheets this season.

影响因素

Canada plays at home at Stade Saputo, where they average 1.25 goals scored and 0.5 goals conceded. Matches at this venue typically see an average of 2.8 total goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of games and over 2.5 goals in 40% of games.

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