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Bundesliga

FC Köln - Heidenheim

05/10/2026, 03:30 PM

1 : 3
预期进球
FC Köln
1.7
Total xG
2.9
Heidenheim
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

2:0

7%

1:2

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
FKHEI

FC Köln

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.10
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
+0.10
Ragnar Ache未进大名单 (7球, 4助攻)
Eric Martel未进大名单 (2球, 2助攻)
Jan Thielmann替补席 (3球, 1助攻)
14%进球产出缺失 (仅86%可用)

Heidenheim

最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.30
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.30
Marnon Busch替补席 (1球, 5助攻)
Julian Niehues替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
Mathias Honsak替补席 (2球, 1助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

46%

平局

27%

客胜

27%

进球数

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

56%

Under 2.5

44%

Over 3.5

34%

Under 3.5

66%

双重机会

主胜或平局

73%

客胜或平局

54%

非平局

73%

双方进球

59%

41%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts the highest probability for a home win at 46%
  • Both teams show positive form according to Advanced Stats, Heidenheim currently scores more frequently (2.2) than their season average (1.2)
  • Heidenheim's extremely high average of 2.62 goals conceded per away game could be decisive
风险因素
  • Heidenheim concedes an average of 2.62 goals per away game
  • The RheinEnergieStadion is known for high-scoring games with a 100% BTTS and Over 2.5 rate in the last 5 matches, indicating an open game
  • The historical H2H record shows Heidenheim dominated recent encounters
概述

FC Köln (14th place, 32 points) host Heidenheim (18th place, 23 points) at the RheinEnergieStadion

Bundesliga match on May 10, 2026, 5:30 PM

Both teams are fighting for crucial points in the relegation battle

近期状态

FC Köln's form in the last 5 games: DWDLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Köln recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss

The last game ended in a draw

Heidenheim's form in the last 5 games: DWLWD

Heidenheim achieved 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss

Heidenheim's last game also ended in a draw

统计数据

FC Köln scores an average of 1.47 goals per game this season and concedes 1.72 goals

Heidenheim scores 1.19 goals per game and concedes 2.16 goals

In home games, Köln averages 1.45 goals scored and 1.35 goals conceded

Heidenheim concedes an average of 2.62 goals per away game

25 out of 32 Köln games ended with both teams scoring

20 out of 32 Heidenheim games ended with both teams scoring

An average of 4.0 goals per game are scored at the RheinEnergieStadion

In the last 5 games at this venue, both teams scored every time and there were always over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

In 3 head-to-head matches, FC Köln had 0 wins and Heidenheim had 1 win

Two matches ended in a draw

Heidenheim scored a total of 7 goals, while Köln scored 4 goals

The last encounter on January 10, 2026, ended in a 2:2 draw

Historically, Heidenheim dominated the recent encounters

关键球员

For FC Köln, Said El Mala stands out with 12 season goals and 5 assists

Jakub Kamiński contributed 7 goals and 3 assists

Marius Bülter scored 4 goals and provided 4 assists

For Heidenheim, Budu Zivzivadze is the top scorer with 6 goals

Eren Dinkçi has 3 goals and 1 assist

Patrick Mainka scored 2 goals and 2 assists

门将

Marvin Schwäbe of FC Köln kept 3 clean sheets this season

Heidenheim has achieved 1 clean sheet this season

影响因素

The RheinEnergieStadion is known for high-scoring games with an average of 4.0 goals per match

In the last 5 games at this venue, both teams always scored

FC Köln performs solidly at home with an average of 1.45 goals scored and 1.35 goals conceded

Heidenheim concedes an average of 2.62 goals away, which weakens their defense

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