Friendly International

Croatia - Slovenia

06/07/2026, 06:45 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Croatia
1.6
Total xG
2.8
Slovenia
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
CROSLO

Croatia

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.57倍)
-1.01
小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
+0.73
防守不足 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.25
排名优势 (第9位 vs 第50位, 相差41位)
+0.11
100%进球产出缺失 (仅50%可用)

Slovenia

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.2倍)
+1.31
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
-1.01
排名劣势 (第50位 vs 第9位, 相差41位)
-0.21
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
-0.10
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.34
+0.34
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

45%

平局

28%

客胜

27%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

73%

客胜或平局

55%

非平局

72%

双方进球

57%

43%

关键因素
  • Croatia's starting XI shows only 50% of the usual goal-scoring threat
  • Croatia conceded an average of 2.0 goals in their last three games and has two consecutive losses
  • The Stadion Anđelko Herjavec venue historically showed an average of 3.0 goals per game with 100% BTTS
风险因素
  • Slovenia had only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Croatia recorded an average of only 2.3 shots on target in their last 3 games
  • Slovenia is missing B. Šeško (Leg Injury) and I. Vekiš (Unknown Injury)
概述

Croatia host Slovenia in a Friendly International match at Stadion Anđelko Herjavec

The game takes place on June 7, 2026, 7:45 PM

The mathematical analysis slightly favors Croatia with a 45% probability of a home win

A draw is calculated at 28%, and an away win for Slovenia at 27%

近期状态

Croatia's recent form is WLL, which corresponds to one win and two losses

Croatia's last two matches ended in a loss

Slovenia's recent form is LWD, with one win, one draw, and one loss

Slovenia's last game ended in a draw

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Croatia scored an average of 1.0 goals per game this season and conceded 2.0 goals per game

Slovenia has an average of 1.33 goals scored and 1.33 goals conceded per game

Both teams scored in two out of three of Croatia's games and two out of three of Slovenia's games

Two out of three of Croatia's games ended with over 2.5 goals, compared to one out of three for Slovenia

The Stadion Anđelko Herjavec venue, in its only recorded match, showed an average of 3.0 goals, with both teams scoring and exceeding the 2.5 goals mark

历史交锋

In two direct encounters to date, both Croatia and Slovenia have one win each, with zero draws

Croatia scored a total of 3 goals, while Slovenia scored 1 goal

Croatia won the last meeting on September 7, 2021, with a 3:0 score

关键球员

For Croatia, Ivan Perišić (2 goals, 2 assists in last 5 games, rising form), Andrej Kramarić (2 goals, 1 assist in last 5 games, rising form), and Martin Erlić (1 goal in last 3 games, rising form) show good performances

For Slovenia, Jaka Bijol (1 assist in last 4 games, rising form), goalkeeper Jan Oblak (average rating 7.94 in last 2 games), and Zan Vipotnik (2 season goals) are notable

门将

Dominik Livaković, Croatia's goalkeeper, has not kept a clean sheet in 3 season appearances

Jan Oblak, Slovenia's goalkeeper, has not been in action this season

Slovenia has also not achieved any clean sheets this season

影响因素

The Stadion Anđelko Herjavec venue, in its only recorded match, showed an average of 3.0 goals, with both teams scoring and exceeding the 2.5 goals mark

Slovenia scored an average of 1.5 goals and conceded 1.5 goals in away games

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