Friendly International

Mexico - Belgium

04/01/2026, 01:00 AM

1 : 1
预期进球
Mexico
1.6
Total xG
2.9
Belgium
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

1:2

7%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
MEXBEL

Mexico

防守实力 (场均失0.3球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
-1.38
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.13
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第8位, 相差6位)
-0.10
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.06
全员可用

Belgium

小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
+0.75
排名优势 (第8位 vs 第14位, 相差6位)
+0.04
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.47
+0.47
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

43%

平局

27%

客胜

29%

进球数

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

55%

Under 2.5

45%

Over 3.5

33%

Under 3.5

67%

双重机会

主胜或平局

71%

客胜或平局

57%

非平局

73%

双方进球

59%

41%

关键因素
  • Mexico's Home Strength: The team averaged 2.0 goals scored and conceded 0.0 in 2 home games this season
  • Belgium's Recent Offense: Belgium scored 5 goals in their last game, showcasing strong attacking form
  • Mathematical Favoritism: The pipeline analysis slightly favors Mexico with a 43% win probability
风险因素
  • Short rest for Mexico: Mexico has only 3 days since their last match
  • Limited data availability: Comprehensive season data for Belgium is largely unavailable
  • Reduced goal production for Mexico: Mexico's active goal production stands at 67%
概述

Mexico host Belgium in a Friendly International match on April 1, 2026, 2:00 AM. The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 43%, a draw with 27%, and an away win with 29% probability. Mexico is expected to score 1.61 goals, while Belgium is expected to score 1.29 goals.

近期状态

Mexico's form across all competitions is LWWWD, indicating 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 games (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). Their last match resulted in a 0-0 draw against Portugal. Belgium achieved a win in their last game, with their overall form being W.

统计数据

Mexico scored an average of 2.0 goals and conceded 0.0 goals in 3 season games, resulting in 3 clean sheets. In 2 home games this season, Mexico scored an average of 2.0 goals and conceded 0.0 goals, achieving 1 home clean sheet. Comprehensive season statistics are not available for Belgium.

历史交锋

No data is available for previous head-to-head encounters between Mexico and Belgium.

关键球员

For Mexico, Jesús Gallardo is a key figure with 1 goal and 1 assist and a season average rating of 7.33. Brian Gutiérrez scored 1 season goal and has an average rating of 7.17. Julián Quiñones contributed 3 goals in his last 5 games, achieving an average rating of 7.05. For Belgium, Kevin De Bruyne showed 1 goal in his last 5 games with an average rating of 6.97. Dodi Lukébakio scored 2 goals in his last 5 matches with an average rating of 7.04. Axel Witsel provided 1 assist in his last 5 games and achieved an average rating of 6.99.

门将

Mexico's goalkeeper Raúl Rangel has a season average rating of 7.23 and contributed to 3 clean sheets this season. On the other side, Matz Sels is the Belgian goalkeeper with an average rating of 6.67 in his last 5 games.

影响因素

Mexico displays a very stable defense in home games, conceding 0.0 goals in 2 home games this season. No specific away statistics are available for Belgium.

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。