Friendly International

Brazil - Egypt

06/06/2026, 10:00 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Brazil
1.9
Total xG
3.2
Egypt
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:1

9%

2:0

7%

1:2

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
BRAEGY

Brazil

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.46倍)
-1.04
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+1.03
排名优势 (第6位 vs 第35位, 相差29位)
+0.13
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.06
全员可用

Egypt

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.84倍)
+1.12
防守实力 (场均失0.4球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
-0.68
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
-0.62
排名劣势 (第35位 vs 第6位, 相差29位)
-0.24
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
状态上升 (2 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
+0.14
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.02
Zizo替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.36
+0.36
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

49%

平局

25%

客胜

26%

进球数

Over 1.5

85%

Under 1.5

15%

Over 2.5

63%

Under 2.5

37%

Over 3.5

41%

Under 3.5

59%

双重机会

主胜或平局

74%

客胜或平局

51%

非平局

75%

双方进球

64%

36%

关键因素
  • Favorite status: The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Brazil with 49%
  • Offensive strength: Brazil averages 3.33 goals per home game and recently had an average of 6.4 shots on target
  • Egypt's defense: Egypt has conceded an average of 0.00 goals per game this season and achieved 3 clean sheets
风险因素
  • Limited data available for head-to-head matches
概述

Brazil host Egypt in a Friendly International at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho on June 6, 2026, 12:00 AM

The mathematical analysis indicates Brazil as favorites with a 49% chance of winning

近期状态

Brazil (WDLWW) has a recent form of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five matches

Their last result was a 6-2 victory against Panama

Egypt (DWWDW) is undefeated in their last five matches with 3 wins and 2 draws

Their last result was a 1-0 victory against Russia

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Brazil averages 3.33 goals scored per game and concedes 1.67 goals per game this season

Egypt displays strong defensive performance with an average of 0.00 goals conceded per game and 3 clean sheets

The Egyptians scored an average of 1.67 goals per game this season

Matches at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho average 4.2 goals per game

Both teams scored in 60% of matches at this venue, and 100% finished with over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

No historical head-to-head matches between Brazil and Egypt are available in the dataset

关键球员

For Brazil, Lucas Paquetá (1 goal, 1 assist), Vinicius Junior (1 goal, 2 assists), and Igor Thiago (2 goals, 1 assist) are key attacking players this season

Lucas Paquetá has contributed 3 goals and 1 assist in 9 games at this venue

Vinicius Junior has scored 1 goal and provided 1 assist in 2 stadium appearances

Igor Thiago has 1 goal and 1 assist in 2 games at the stadium

Egypt's Mahmoud Trezeguet (1 goal) and Omar Marmoush (1 goal) are attacking players with season goals

Mostafa Mohamed Zaki Abdelraouf scored 1 goal in his only season appearance

门将

Brazil's goalkeeper is Alisson, who has no clean sheets this season

Oufa Shobeir is Egypt's goalkeeper, with 3 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho is known for high-scoring games, averaging 4.2 goals per match

Over 2.5 goals occurred in 100% of matches at this stadium

Brazil scored an average of 3.33 goals and conceded 1.67 goals in home matches

Egypt showed strong defense in away games, conceding an average of 0.00 goals and scoring 2.00 goals

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。