Friendly International
Mexico - Australia
05/31/2026, 02:00 AM
预期进球
1.7
3.1
1.4
1:1
12%2:1
9%1:2
7%2:0
6%2:2
6%xG 分解
Mexico
Australia
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
44%
平局
26%
客胜
30%
进球数
Over 1.5
83%
Under 1.5
17%
Over 2.5
61%
Under 2.5
39%
Over 3.5
38%
Under 3.5
62%
双重机会
主胜或平局
70%
客胜或平局
56%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
64%
否
36%
关键因素
- Critical Squad Gap: Mexico has only 50% of their usual starting XI goal threat available without Armando González, Jesús Gallardo, and Brian Gutiérrez
- Mexico's Strong Home Record: With 1.40 goals scored and only 0.20 goals conceded in home games, Mexico is tough to beat at home
- Mexico's Current Form: The team is unbeaten in 5 games with 3 wins and 2 draws
风险因素
- Limited Data Availability: Historical head-to-head matches are missing, affecting predictability
- Untested Away Performance: Australia has not played any away games this season
- Missing xG Data: 3 out of 5 xG data points for Australia's recent games are missing, limiting efficiency analysis
概述
Mexico hosts Australia in a Friendly International at the Rose Bowl on May 31, 2026, 3:00 AM
The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 44% probability
A draw is calculated at 26% and an away win at 30%
The model expects 1.73 goals for Mexico and 1.41 goals for Australia
近期状态
Mexico shows good form with W W D D W (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses) in their last 5 games
Their last win was a 2-0 against Ghana
Australia has mixed form with L L L W W (2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses) in their last 5 matches
Their last two games were won 5-1 against Curacao and 1-0 against Cameroon
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Mexico scored an average of 1.50 goals and conceded only 0.17 goals per game in 6 matches
The team kept 5 clean sheets and scored 1.40 goals while conceding 0.20 goals in 5 home games
Australia has a goal average of 3.00 and conceded 0.50 goals per game in 2 matches
Australia kept 1 clean sheet
The mathematical analysis predicts a 64% probability for both teams to score
The model calculates a 61% probability for over 2.5 goals in the match
历史交锋
No head-to-head matches between Mexico and Australia are available in the provided dataset
关键球员
For Mexico, Guillermo Martínez Ayala is currently in rising form with 4 goals in the last 5 games
Alexis Vega contributed 2 assists in his last 5 appearances and shows rising form
Mateo Chávez scored one goal in his last 3 appearances and his form is rising
For Australia, Jacob Italiano showed rising form in 4 of the last 5 games with 3 goals
Jordan Bos has contributed 2 goals and 1 assist this season
Mohamed Touré scored 1 goal in his last 5 appearances
门将
Mexico's goalkeeper Raúl Rangel appeared in 6 season games and kept 5 clean sheets
Australia's goalkeeper Mathew Ryan played 2 season games and kept a clean sheet in 1 match
影响因素
Mexico shows a strong home average of 1.40 goals scored and only 0.20 goals conceded
Data regarding venue and weather influences is limited