Friendly International

Senegal - Gambia

03/31/2026, 07:00 PM

3 : 1
预期进球
Senegal
2.0
Total xG
3.2
Gambia
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:1

10%

2:0

8%

3:1

7%

1:2

6%
xG 分解
SENGAM

Senegal

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.22倍)
+0.39
小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
-0.29
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均2.4球)
+0.14
排名优势 (第18位 vs 第115位, 相差97位)
+0.14
全员可用

Gambia

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.24
排名劣势 (第115位 vs 第18位, 相差97位)
-0.21
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.1球)
+0.62
+0.62
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

55%

平局

24%

客胜

21%

进球数

Over 1.5

84%

Under 1.5

16%

Over 2.5

62%

Under 2.5

38%

Over 3.5

40%

Under 3.5

60%

双重机会

主胜或平局

79%

客胜或平局

45%

非平局

76%

双方进球

62%

38%

关键因素
  • Senegal is the favorite with a home win probability of 55% according to mathematical analysis
  • Senegal shows rising form with two consecutive wins
  • Senegal consistently scores around 2.3 goals per game according to advanced statistics
风险因素
  • Senegal has only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Senegal averaged only 2.2 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • Gambia has several absentees, including E. Adams (Knee Injury), A. Fadera (Unknown Injury), A. Sowe (Muscle Injury), and M. Jatta (Visa Issues)
概述

Senegal hosts Gambia in a Friendly International match on March 31, 2026, 8:00 PM

The mathematical analysis indicates Senegal as favorites with a 55% home win probability

Gambia's win probability stands at only 21%

近期状态

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Senegal's form in the last five matches is LLLWW

This corresponds to 2 wins and 3 losses

The last result was a win

Gambia has a form of WD in recent matches

This consists of 1 win and 1 draw

The last result was a draw

统计数据

Senegal averaged 2.0 goals per game and conceded 0.0 goals per game this season (based on one home match)

Senegal consistently scores around 2.3 goals per game according to advanced statistics

Gambia consistently scores around 2.0 goals per game according to advanced statistics

Data availability for Gambia's season averages is limited

历史交锋

The provided dataset does not list any previous direct encounters between these two teams

关键球员

For Senegal, Ismaïla Sarr is a key player, scoring 5 goals in the last 5 games

Cherif Ndiaye showed strong form with 2 goals in the last 5 games

Assane Diao contributes to the offense with 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games

For Gambia, Yankuba Minteh scored 1 goal in the last 3 games

Abubakr Barry contributed 1 goal in the last 4 games

Sheriff Sinyan also scored 1 goal in the last 4 games

门将

Senegal's goalkeeper Yehvann Diouf has achieved 1 clean sheet in 1 home game this season

Gambia's goalkeeper Baboucarr Gaye has an average rating of 6.72 in the last 5 games

影响因素

Senegal scored 2.0 goals and conceded 0.0 goals in their single home game

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