Friendly International

Mexico - Ghana

05/23/2026, 02:00 AM

2 : 0
预期进球
Mexico
1.9
Total xG
2.9
Ghana
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:0

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

7%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
MEXGHA

Mexico

防守实力 (场均失0.6球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-1.10
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
-0.35
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
排名优势 (第14位 vs 第75位, 相差61位)
+0.13
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.03

Ghana

小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.26
排名劣势 (第75位 vs 第14位, 相差61位)
-0.16
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.02
100%进球产出缺失 (仅0%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.36
+0.36
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

59%

平局

24%

客胜

16%

进球数

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

54%

Under 2.5

46%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

双重机会

主胜或平局

84%

客胜或平局

41%

非平局

76%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • Ghana's severely limited goal threat: According to data, only 0% of Ghana's usual starting eleven offensive strength is available.
  • Mexico's excellent form and solid defense: Mexico is unbeaten in their last 5 games and concedes an average of only 0.2 goals per game this season.
  • Ghana's defensive weakness: Ghana has suffered losses in their last 4 games and conceded an average of 3.5 goals per away match.
风险因素
  • Key absences for Ghana: K. Sulemana (Unknown Injury), M. Kudus (Muscle Injury), and A. Boakye (Yellow Card Suspension) are unavailable.
  • Limited data availability: Missing head-to-head data and incomplete xG values for the last 5 games are noted in the dataset.
  • Ghana's limited scoring opportunities: Ghana recorded an average of only 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 games.
概述

Mexico hosts Ghana in a Friendly International match on May 23, 2026, 4:00 AM. The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with a probability of 59%. Mexico is expected to score 1.93 goals, while Ghana is expected to score 0.93 goals.

近期状态

Mexico is in excellent form with a record of WWWDD (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses) in their last 5 matches. Most recently, Mexico had two draws, including a 1-1 against Belgium and a 0-0 against Portugal. Ghana, on the other hand, is in a difficult phase with a record of WLLLL (1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses). The team suffered losses in their last 4 matches, including a 1-2 against Germany and a 1-5 against Austria. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Mexico shows a strong record in 5 season games with an average of 1.4 goals scored per game and only 0.2 goals conceded. The team kept 4 clean sheets. At home, Mexico averages 1.25 goals scored and concedes only 0.25 goals. Ghana has scored an average of 1.0 goal in 2 season games but conceded an alarming 3.5 goals per game, with no clean sheets. Away, they also average 1.0 goal scored and 3.5 goals conceded per game.

历史交锋

The provided dataset does not list any direct head-to-head encounters between Mexico and Ghana.

关键球员

For Mexico, Armando González (Attacker, 2 goals, 1 assist in the last 5 games), Jesús Gallardo (Defender, 0 goals, 2 assists in the last 5 games), and Gilberto Mora (Midfielder, 1 goal in the last 5 games) are important players. For Ghana, Felix Afena-Gyan (Attacker, 0 goals, 0 assists in the last 5 games), Ibrahim Osman (Attacker, 0 goals, 0 assists in the last 5 games), and Majeed Ashimeru (Midfielder, 0 goals, 0 assists in the last 5 games) are among the listed players.

门将

Raúl Rangel is Mexico's goalkeeper and has recorded 4 clean sheets for his team in 5 appearances this season. For Ghana, Benjamin Asare is expected in goal, who has not recorded any clean sheets this season.

影响因素

Mexico benefits from a clear home advantage, averaging 1.25 goals scored and only 0.25 goals conceded in home games. Ghana, however, appears vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 3.5 goals per away game.

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。