Bundesliga
SC Freiburg - RB Leipzig
05/16/2026, 01:30 PM
预期进球
1.6
3.0
1.4
1:1
13%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
6%2:2
6%xG 分解
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
40%
平局
27%
客胜
32%
进球数
Over 1.5
81%
Under 1.5
19%
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
Over 3.5
34%
Under 3.5
66%
双重机会
主胜或平局
68%
客胜或平局
60%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
61%
否
39%
关键因素
- Pipeline prediction: The mathematical model projects a slight advantage for SC Freiburg with a 40% chance of a home win, compared to 33% for RB Leipzig
- Form disparity: RB Leipzig shows strong recent form with 4 wins in their last 5 games, in contrast to SC Freiburg's 1 win and 3 losses in the same period
- Head-to-head dominance: RB Leipzig has historically dominated this fixture, winning 4 of the last 5 direct duels against SC Freiburg and drawing once
风险因素
- Freiburg's recent defensive vulnerability: SC Freiburg conceded an average of 2.2 goals in the last 5 games, compared to a season average of 1.5
- Freiburg's reduced offensive output: SC Freiburg's goal production is 1.4 goals per game in the last 5 games, while the season average is 1.6
概述
SC Freiburg (7th place, 44 points) host RB Leipzig (3rd place, 65 points) at the Europa-Park Stadion. The Bundesliga match takes place on May 16, 2026, 3:30 PM. Freiburg aims to improve its position, while Leipzig seeks to secure a Champions League spot
近期状态
SC Freiburg's form (LLDWL) shows one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches
The last game resulted in a loss for Freiburg
RB Leipzig is in strong form (WWWLW) with four wins and one loss in their last five matches
Leipzig won their last encounter
SC Freiburg's goal production in the last 5 games is 1.4 goals per game, while the season average is 1.6
RB Leipzig consistently scores 2.0 goals per game in their last 5 matches, matching their season average
统计数据
SC Freiburg averages 1.45 home goals scored and concedes 1.05 home goals per game
RB Leipzig averages 1.92 away goals scored and concedes 1.77 away goals per game
The home team scored a total of 47 goals this season, conceded 56 goals, and kept 6 clean sheets
The away team scored a total of 65 goals this season, conceded 43 goals, and kept 11 clean sheets
Freiburg's home games averaged 3.4 total goals per game
Both teams scored in 4 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of 5 games
历史交锋
In the last five head-to-head matches, SC Freiburg has no wins, one draw, and RB Leipzig has four wins
SC Freiburg scored 3 goals, while RB Leipzig scored 12 goals
The last encounter on January 14, 2026, saw RB Leipzig win away with a 2-0 score
RB Leipzig has been dominant in recent meetings
关键球员
For SC Freiburg, Igor Matanovic is an important attacker with 10 season goals and 1 assist
In the last five games, he scored 2 goals
Johan Manzambi in midfield has 5 season goals and 3 assists, including 2 goals and 1 assist in the last five games
Matthias Ginter is a factor in defense with 2 season goals and 4 assists
For RB Leipzig, Christoph Baumgartner in midfield is a crucial player with 13 season goals and 9 assists
In the last five games, he contributed 1 goal and 2 assists
Yan Diomande, an attacker, scored 12 season goals and 7 assists, including 2 goals and 1 assist in the last five games
Conrad Harder in attack has 3 season goals and 3 assists
门将
For SC Freiburg, Noah Atubolu is in goal, having played 33 games this season and keeping 6 clean sheets
Péter Gulácsi is the goalkeeper for RB Leipzig with 22 appearances and 11 clean sheets this season
影响因素
The Europa-Park Stadion recorded an average of 3.4 goals per game in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 80% of these games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 80%
SC Freiburg averages 1.45 goals scored and concedes 1.05 goals at home
RB Leipzig averages 1.92 goals scored and concedes 1.77 goals away