Friendly International

Norway - Sweden

06/01/2026, 05:00 PM

3 : 1
预期进球
Norway
1.5
Total xG
2.7
Sweden
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
NORSWE

Norway

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.57倍)
-0.75
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.64
小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
+0.50
100%进球产出缺失 (仅66%可用)

Sweden

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.68
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.36
+0.36
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

43%

平局

29%

客胜

29%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

71%

客胜或平局

57%

非平局

71%

双方进球

56%

44%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Norway with a 43% probability
  • Sweden has recently shown a strong offense, consistently scoring an average of 3.0 goals per game in recent matches
  • Norway recorded an average of 2.8 shots on target in their last four matches
风险因素
  • Norway's starting lineup has only 67% of its usual goal threat available
  • Norway recorded an average of only 2.8 shots on target in their last four matches
概述

Norway host Sweden at Ullevaal Stadion for a Friendly International match on June 1, 2026, 7:00 PM

The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with a 43% probability

A draw is calculated at 29% and an away win at 29%

近期状态

Norway's form in their last four matches is WDLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Their last game ended in a draw

Sweden shows a WW form in their last two matches (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Sweden's last game was a win

统计数据

Norway averaged 0.5 goals scored per game and conceded 1.0 goals per game in two matches this season

Recently, Norway scored consistently with an average of 1.0 goals per game, while Sweden scored consistently with an average of 3.0 goals per game

The mathematical analysis forecasts 1.50 expected home goals for Norway and 1.19 expected away goals for Sweden

The probability of both teams scoring is 56%, according to the model

At Ullevaal Stadion, an average of 1.0 goals per game were scored in three matches, with both teams scoring in 33% of cases and 0% of matches having over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

The provided dataset does not list any head-to-head matches between Norway and Sweden

关键球员

For Norway, Antonio Nusa (1 goal, 1 assist in 5 games, avg rating 6.98), Julian Ryerson (3 assists in 5 games, avg rating 6.96), and Fredrik Aursnes (avg rating 7.24 in 5 games) are in the starting lineup

For Sweden, Jacob Widell Zetterström (avg rating 7.56 in 1 game), Jesper Karlström (avg rating 6.95 in 5 games), and Herman Johansson (1 assist in 5 games, avg rating 6.87) are in the starting formation

门将

In goal for Norway is Ørjan Nyland, who has one clean sheet this season

For Sweden, Jacob Widell Zetterström is expected, for whom no seasonal performance data is available

影响因素

Ullevaal Stadion recorded an average of 1.0 goals per game across three matches

Both teams scored in 33% of the games, and 0% of matches had over 2.5 goals

Norway's home statistics for this season are not available

Sweden has no relevant away statistics for this season

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