Friendly International

Wales - Ghana

06/02/2026, 06:45 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Wales
1.6
Total xG
2.3
Ghana
0.7
最可能的比分

1:0

14%

1:1

13%

2:0

12%

0:0

12%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
WALGHA

Wales

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.17倍)
-1.36
小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
+1.04
防守不足 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.89
排名优势 (第30位 vs 第75位, 相差45位)
+0.11

Ghana

防守不足 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.50
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.37倍)
-0.49
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.28
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.24
状态下滑 (0.4 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.24
排名劣势 (第75位 vs 第30位, 相差45位)
-0.13
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.35
+0.35
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

55%

平局

28%

客胜

16%

进球数

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

40%

Under 2.5

60%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

双重机会

主胜或平局

84%

客胜或平局

45%

非平局

72%

双方进球

43%

57%

关键因素
  • Wales enters the match as favorites with a calculated home win probability of 55%
  • Ghana is on a clear negative streak of 5 losses and conceded an average of 3.0 goals per away game
  • Wales has shown ball-dominant play with an average of 55% possession in their last 3 games, facing Ghana's counter-oriented style with an average of 1.6 shots on target
风险因素
  • Ghana's low average shots on target of 1.6 per game could limit offensive penetration
  • At Cardiff City Stadium, both teams have always scored in the last 2 matches
概述

Wales hosts Ghana in a Friendly International match at Cardiff City Stadium

The game takes place on June 2, 2026, 8:45 PM

The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 55% for Wales

近期状态

Wales' current form is LLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

This corresponds to 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 3 matches

The last match ended in a 1-1 draw against Northern Ireland

Ghana's form is LLLLL

Ghana recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses in their last 5 matches

Ghana lost their last game 0-2 against Mexico

统计数据

Wales averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 goal conceded per game this season

At home, Wales recorded 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 goal conceded in 1 game

Ghana averaged 0.67 goals scored and 3.0 goals conceded per game in 3 matches

Away from home, Ghana conceded an average of 3.0 goals in 3 games

Cardiff City Stadium saw an average of 2.0 goals per game

In both matches at the stadium, both teams scored

Neither of the two games had over 2.5 goals

关键球员

For Wales, Sorba Thomas has a season performance of 1 goal and an average rating of 7.25

Josh Sheehan has an average rating of 7.22

Neco Williams achieved an average rating of 7.01

For Ghana, Jordan Ayew scored 1 goal this season with an average rating of 7.18

Issahaku Fatawu scored 1 goal and has an average rating of 6.92

Thomas Partey achieved an average rating of 6.71

门将

Wales' goalkeeper, Karl Darlow, has 0 clean sheets in 1 game

Ghana's goalkeeper, Lawrence Ati Zigi, kept 0 clean sheets in 3 games

影响因素

Wales scored an average of 1.0 goal and conceded 1.0 goal at home

Ghana conceded an average of 3.0 goals away from home

Cardiff City Stadium recorded an average of 2.0 goals per game

In 2 matches at the stadium, both teams always scored

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