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Bundesliga

Borussia Mönchengladbach - TSG Hoffenheim

05/16/2026, 01:30 PM

4 : 0
预期进球
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.3
Total xG
2.6
TSG Hoffenheim
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

8%

1:2

8%

2:0

6%

0:2

6%
xG 分解
BMTH

Borussia Mönchengladbach

最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.23
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.18
防守实力 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
+0.13
排名劣势 (第13位 vs 第5位, 相差8位)
-0.12
Franck Honorat替补席 (2球, 6助攻)
Jens Castrop未进大名单 (3球, 2助攻)
Rocco Reitz未进大名单 (0球, 4助攻)

TSG Hoffenheim

排名优势 (第5位 vs 第13位, 相差8位)
+0.05
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2球)
-0.01
客场表现不佳 (场均1.5球 vs 总体2球)
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.72
+0.72
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

36%

平局

30%

客胜

34%

进球数

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

66%

客胜或平局

64%

非平局

70%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Hoffenheim's strong offense (avg 1.97 goals/game) and stable form (3W, 2D in last 5 games)
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach's recent goal production has stalled (avg 0.8 goals recently) with an average of 3.4 shots on target
  • The mathematical analysis indicates a very balanced match with a 36% home win, 30% draw, and 34% away win
风险因素
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach's average of 3.4 shots on target in the last 5 games suggests limited offensive threat
  • The very balanced probabilities from the pipeline predictions (36% home win, 30% draw, 34% away win) indicate a high degree of unpredictability for the match
概述

Borussia Mönchengladbach (13th place, 35 points) host TSG Hoffenheim (5th place, 61 points) at Stadion im Borussia-Park. The Bundesliga match is scheduled for May 16, 2026, 3:30 PM. While Hoffenheim is fighting for a European spot, Gladbach is in the lower mid-table.

近期状态

Borussia Mönchengladbach's form in the last five matches is LDDWL, which means 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Their last result was a loss. TSG Hoffenheim shows a form of DWWDW, with 3 wins, 2 draws, and no losses in their last five games. Their most recent match ended in a win. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Borussia Mönchengladbach averaged 1.15 goals scored and 1.61 goals conceded per game this season. At home, they scored 1.18 and conceded 1.41 goals on average. TSG Hoffenheim is stronger offensively with an average of 1.97 goals scored and 1.45 goals conceded per game. Away from home, Hoffenheim averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded. At Stadion im Borussia-Park, the last 5 games averaged 2.0 total goals per match, with both teams scoring in 2 of 5 games and over 2.5 goals occurring in 1 of 5 games.

历史交锋

In the 5 previous head-to-head matches, the record is balanced: Borussia Mönchengladbach won 2 times, TSG Hoffenheim also won 2 times, and one match ended in a draw. Gladbach scored 12 goals, while Hoffenheim scored 15. The last encounter on January 14, 2026, was won by TSG Hoffenheim with a 5:1 score.

关键球员

For Borussia Mönchengladbach, Haris Tabakovic with 12 season goals and 2 assists, Kevin Diks with 4 goals, and Joe Scally with 2 goals and 3 assists are important players. For TSG Hoffenheim, Andrej Kramaric stands out with 14 goals and 6 assists, Fisnik Asllani with 10 goals and 8 assists, and Bazoumana Touré with 5 goals and 9 assists. Andrej Kramaric is showing a rising form with 4 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games. For Gladbach, Franck Honorat (2G/6A), Jens Castrop (3G/2A), and Rocco Reitz (0G/4A) are not nominated.

门将

Moritz Nicolas is Borussia Mönchengladbach's goalkeeper, making 33 appearances this season with an average rating of 7.14. The team recorded 12 clean sheets. Oliver Baumann is TSG Hoffenheim's goalkeeper, also playing 33 times with an average rating of 6.78. His team achieved 7 clean sheets.

影响因素

Playing at home in Stadion im Borussia-Park has some influence on Borussia Mönchengladbach's performance, with an average of 1.18 goals scored and 1.41 goals conceded in home matches. TSG Hoffenheim scored an average of 2.00 goals and conceded 1.80 goals in away games. The playing surface is grass. In the last 5 games at Stadion im Borussia-Park, an average of 2.0 goals were scored per match.

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