Friendly International

Netherlands - Algeria

06/03/2026, 06:45 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
Netherlands
1.7
Total xG
3.9
Algeria
2.2
最可能的比分

1:2

8%

2:2

7%

2:1

7%

1:3

6%

2:3

5%
xG 分解
NETALG

Netherlands

小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.40
排名优势 (第7位 vs 第38位, 相差31位)
+0.12
全员可用

Algeria

进攻实力 (联赛平均的3.58倍)
+1.92
防守实力 (场均失0.6球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
-0.52
状态上升 (4 vs 2.5 赛季平均)
+0.46
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-0.44
排名劣势 (第38位 vs 第7位, 相差31位)
-0.38
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.8球)
+0.10
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.37
+0.37
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

30%

平局

23%

客胜

48%

进球数

Over 1.5

91%

Under 1.5

9%

Over 2.5

75%

Under 2.5

25%

Over 3.5

55%

Under 3.5

45%

双重机会

主胜或平局

52%

客胜或平局

70%

非平局

77%

双方进球

74%

26%

关键因素
  • Pipeline prediction: The mathematical analysis forecasts an away win for Algeria with 48% probability and 2.18 expected goals
  • Algeria's offensive strength: Algeria averages 3.5 goals per game this season and shows positive recent form with an average of 4.0 goals
  • High scoring potential: The model calculates a 74% probability for both teams to score and a 75% probability for over 2.5 goals
风险因素
  • Netherlands' limited starting XI strength: Only 67% of the usual starting XI goal threat is available
  • Netherlands' defensive approach: Netherlands recently played counter-oriented with an average of 38% possession and 3.0 shots on target per game
  • Limited data availability: There are no previous head-to-head meetings between the teams
概述

Netherlands host Algeria in a Friendly International match at Stadion Feijenoord on June 3, 2026, 8:45 PM

近期状态

Netherlands' recent form is W-D (1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses)

Their last match was a 1-1 draw against Ecuador

Before that, they secured a 2-1 win against Norway

Algeria's last five games show a form of W-L-W-W-D (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss)

Their most recent game was a 0-0 draw against Uruguay

Previously, they achieved an impressive 7-0 victory over Guatemala

统计数据

Netherlands averages 1.5 goals scored per season game and concedes 1.0 goals

In 2 season games, both teams scored (2 BTTS) and there was one occurrence of over 2.5 goals

Algeria boasts a strong season record with an average of 3.5 goals scored per game and 0.0 goals conceded

In their 2 season games, Algeria kept 2 clean sheets and neither team scored on 0 occasions

Stadion Feijenoord, the venue, has seen an average of 2.8 total goals in its last 5 matches

Both teams scored in all 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of 5 matches

关键球员

For Netherlands, Donyell Malen stands out with 4 goals and 2 assists in his last 5 games and a rising form trend

Virgil van Dijk has scored 2 goals in his last 5 games, also showing a rising form

Tijjani Reijnders has scored 1 goal this season

For Algeria, Amine Gouiri is a key attacker with 2 season goals and 4 goals in his last 5 games, showing rising form

Houssem Aouar contributed 1 goal and 1 assist this season, and 2 goals and 2 assists in his last 5 matches

Ramy Bensebaini showed 1 goal and 2 assists in his last 5 games with a rising form

门将

Netherlands' goalkeeper, Bart Verbruggen, had 0 clean sheets in 1 season appearance

Algeria's goalkeeper Luca Zidane made 1 season appearance

Netherlands has recorded 0 clean sheets this season

Algeria has secured 2 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The playing surface is grass

Stadion Feijenoord averaged 2.8 goals in its last 5 matches

Both teams scored in all 5 of these matches, and over 2.5 goals occurred in 60% of the games

Netherlands has scored an average of 1.5 goals and conceded 1.0 goals in their 2 home games

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