Bundesliga
St. Pauli - VfL Wolfsburg
05/16/2026, 01:30 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.6
1.2
1:1
14%2:1
9%1:2
7%2:0
7%2:2
5%xG 分解
St. Pauli
VfL Wolfsburg
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
41%
平局
29%
客胜
30%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
双重机会
主胜或平局
70%
客胜或平局
59%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
55%
否
45%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts St. Pauli as slight favorites with a home win probability of 41%
- St. Pauli shows poor form with 0 wins and 4 losses in their last 5 games, while Wolfsburg recorded 1 win and 2 draws
- Both teams are struggling with their current goal production: St. Pauli (0.6 goals) and VfL Wolfsburg (1.0 goals) are below their season average
风险因素
- VfL Wolfsburg concedes an average of 2.12 goals per away game
- St. Pauli averaged 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
概述
St. Pauli (18th place, 26 points) host VfL Wolfsburg (16th place, 26 points) at Millerntor-Stadion. Bundesliga match on May 16, 2026, 3:30 PM. Both teams are fighting for survival and are level on points at the bottom of the table.
近期状态
St. Pauli's form is poor with 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses (LDLLL) in their last five games. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss. Their last match ended in a loss. VfL Wolfsburg shows slightly better form in their last five matches with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses (LWDDL). Their last result was a loss.
统计数据
St. Pauli scores an average of 0.85 goals per game this season and concedes 1.73 goals. At home, they score 0.84 goals and concede 1.47 goals. VfL Wolfsburg scores an average of 1.27 goals per game and concedes 2.06 goals. Away from home, they score 1.24 goals and concede 2.12 goals. St. Pauli recorded 5 clean sheets, Wolfsburg 2. For St. Pauli, 18 games ended with both teams scoring (BTTS), for Wolfsburg 24. At Millerntor-Stadion, an average of 2.6 goals per game were scored in the last 5 matches. In 3 out of 5 games, both teams scored, and 3 out of 5 games had over 2.5 goals.
历史交锋
In 3 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli has 0 wins, VfL Wolfsburg has 1 win, and there have been 2 draws. The goal difference is 2:3 in favor of Wolfsburg. The last encounter was won by VfL Wolfsburg on January 14, 2026, away with a score of 2:1.
关键球员
St. Pauli: Jackson Irvine (0 Goals, 1 Assist, Avg. 6.8 Rating), Joel Chima Fujita (1 Goal, 3 Assists, Avg. 6.81 Rating), Hauke Wahl (2 Goals, 1 Assist, Avg. 6.79 Rating). Not nominated: Danel Sinani (5 Goals, 3 Assists).
VfL Wolfsburg: Christian Eriksen (3 Goals, 8 Assists, Avg. 7.02 Rating), Dzenan Pejcinovic (7 Goals, 0 Assists, Avg. 6.77 Rating), Konstantinos Koulierakis (3 Goals, 1 Assist, Avg. 6.76 Rating). Not nominated: Mohamed Amoura (8 Goals, 3 Assists), Patrick Wimmer (4 Goals, 3 Assists), Aaron Zehnter (2 Goals, 0 Assists).
门将
St. Pauli's goalkeeper Nikola Vasilj recorded 5 clean sheets this season. Kamil Grabara of VfL Wolfsburg kept 2 clean sheets.
影响因素
The match takes place at Millerntor-Stadion on natural grass. St. Pauli scored 16 goals at home and conceded 28 goals. VfL Wolfsburg scored 21 goals away and conceded 36 goals. At Millerntor-Stadion, an average of 2.6 goals per game were scored in the last 5 matches. In 3 out of 5 games, both teams scored, and 3 out of 5 games had over 2.5 goals.