Friendly International

United States - Portugal

03/31/2026, 11:00 PM

0 : 2
预期进球
United States
1.7
Total xG
3.1
Portugal
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:2

7%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
USPOR

United States

防守不足 (场均失3.6球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
+1.92
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.66倍)
+1.09
小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
-0.90
状态上升 (2.8 vs 2 赛季平均)
+0.21
排名劣势 (第16位 vs 第5位, 相差11位)
-0.20
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.11
全员可用

Portugal

小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
-0.53
排名优势 (第5位 vs 第16位, 相差11位)
+0.08
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.47
+0.47
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

41%

平局

26%

客胜

33%

进球数

Over 1.5

84%

Under 1.5

16%

Over 2.5

61%

Under 2.5

39%

Over 3.5

39%

Under 3.5

61%

双重机会

主胜或平局

67%

客胜或平局

60%

非平局

74%

双方进球

64%

36%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical model calculates a home win probability of 41%
  • Form Advantage: The USA have won 3 and drawn 1 of their last 5 matches, while Portugal recorded a draw in their last game
  • Tactical Strength: The USA show offensive strength with an average of 5.0 shots on target in their last 5 games
风险因素
  • Short rest for home team: United States had only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Short rest for away team: Portugal had only 2 days of rest since their last match
  • Low offensive output for Portugal: Portugal averaged only 2.0 shots on target in their last game
概述

United States host Portugal in a Friendly International match on April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM

The mathematical analysis indicates the USA are slight favorites with a 41% win probability

近期状态

United States' form in their last five matches is DWWWL

This record includes 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

The last result was a 2-5 loss against Belgium

Portugal played a D in their last match

This corresponds to 1 draw

The last result was a 0-0 draw against Mexico

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

United States are currently scoring more frequently (2.8) than their season average (2.1)

They averaged 5.0 shots on target with 57.2% possession in their last 5 games

Portugal had 67% possession in their last game, but only averaged 2.0 shots on target

关键球员

For United States, key players include Sebastian Berhalter (2 goals, 3 assists in 5 games, avg 7.69 rating), Auston Trusty (2 goals in 4 games, avg 7.64 rating), and Chris Richards (avg 7.09 rating in 5 games)

For Portugal, Bruno Fernandes (2 goals, 4 assists in 5 games, avg 8.25 rating), Vitinha (1 goal in 5 games, avg 7.38 rating), and Gonçalo Inácio (2 goals in 4 games, avg 7.17 rating) are important

门将

Matt Freese (avg 6.76 rating in 4 games) will be in goal for United States

José Sá (avg 7.12 rating in 3 games) is the goalkeeper for Portugal

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